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AnalystInParadise

(1,832 posts)
Sun Mar 9, 2014, 06:29 PM Mar 2014

Speculation on MH370 aircraft demise [View all]

Let's have a thread where we have a polite discussion on what could have gone wrong with MH370 that is now missing and presumed lost.

EDIT: Interesting, I saw this after my post. http://www.thestar.com.my/News/Nation/2014/03/09/Missing-MAS-flight-Uighur-link/

It could be simple mechanical failure, it could be explosive decompression, it could be many things. My job is as an analyst and this region is not my focus, but I have an interesting theory. I believe there is a low level insurgency against the Chinese government. The knife attacks a few weeks ago killed dozens and it seems that a Uighur separatist group are the source of that attack. Here is what we know about MH370. Over half the flights passengers were Chinese nationals. There were two passports that were stolen and used by someone, these passports were Austrian and Italian. Uighurs can pass for southern Europeans in certain cases due to appearance. Also there is the luggage snafu, it would not difficult to bribe airport workers in a country like Malaysia to look the other way for a baggage switch, hell it isn't that difficult in this country

I have no proof, I have no evidence, all we have is the mystery. But I could see a logical path where two Uighurs travelling on false passports could be on a mission to bring down a plane full of Chinese nationals. It fits the definition of terror in being random, unexpected, and effective.

Any evidence that negates my theory is VERY likely to occur, but until more evidence is secured, this seems a potential. Any one else have any theories?

Honestly flight failure of the airframe is probably the most likely. But the fact that there was a recent terror attack in China, most of the passengers were Chinese and the plane originated in a Muslim country lead me to SPECULATE, that's all this is speculation. Let's hear what you have.

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Speculation on MH370 aircraft demise [View all] AnalystInParadise Mar 2014 OP
I'm not speculating, but I'll add some info: okaawhatever Mar 2014 #1
Excellent points AnalystInParadise Mar 2014 #3
Debris may account for the radar indication that the plane was turning back FarCenter Mar 2014 #16
Interesting thesis 1000words Mar 2014 #2
Attack on Chinese interests AnalystInParadise Mar 2014 #4
A simple mechanical failure would not disable communications before a Mayday could be sent FarCenter Mar 2014 #5
Indeed AnalystInParadise Mar 2014 #6
Right, and if the plane turned around without sending out a distress message? BlueStreak Mar 2014 #17
I wonder whether the Malaysia Airlines pilots lock the cockpit doors FarCenter Mar 2014 #19
There is this past incident. Those people are very lucky to be alive. FourScore Mar 2014 #21
LOL AnalystInParadise Mar 2014 #7
Yes, I had also read the bit about Malaysia being a Uighur's target due to the deportations to China FarCenter Mar 2014 #9
Then there were the 20 employees from "Freescale Semiconductor" on board. villager Mar 2014 #8
That seems to be a bit of a reach. longship Mar 2014 #10
Perhaps AnalystInParadise Mar 2014 #11
One should not discount catastrophic failure. longship Mar 2014 #13
It was a bunch of company engineers/managers traveling as a group to a meeting jsr Mar 2014 #20
The problem with this theory is that the passports were stolen over two years malaise Mar 2014 #12
Passports can be sold on the black market AnalystInParadise Mar 2014 #14
We'll see n/t malaise Mar 2014 #15
No confirmed debris from missing jet: Malaysian official morningfog Mar 2014 #18
Mentioned in another thread Crepuscular Mar 2014 #22
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