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former9thward

(33,424 posts)

16. There apparently was no significant crossover.

Sat Jun 14, 2014, 03:13 PM

Jun 2014

1) Crossover attempts rarely work and 2) they have to be organized. Democrats did not even pay attention to that race until Tuesday night.

Little evidence for widespread Democratic cross over voting to oppose Cantor in GOP primary
Vote counts show turnout did not spike higher in more Democratic-voting counties, and Cantor lost most support in Republican strongholds.

Likewise, Cantor saw the biggest drop-off in support in Republican strongholds of Hanover (-44 percentage points) and New Kent (-44 points), counties where Obama drew just over 30 percent of the vote in 2012. In Henrico County where Obama won 55 percent support, Cantor's drop-off was a smaller 32 points. The overall correlation between Obama's county support and Cantor's drop-off was clearly negative at -.60, indicating that the higher Obama's 2012 support, the lower Republican primary turnout rose this year. This is consistent with the idea that Republicans largely drove the rise in turnout.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/06/11/did-democratic-votes-doom-eric-cantor/

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Dave Brat�s �Huge� win was not based on his message.. [View all] busterbrown Jun 2014 OP

They voted for ABC warrior1 Jun 2014 #1

Yea.. because Cantor unwillingly shook hands with Obama.. A few times.. busterbrown Jun 2014 #3

Have they done any reporting on the crossover vote? MADem Jun 2014 #2

Their hatred of Cantor was based on the facts ... busterbrown Jun 2014 #4

Really? There was no help from the Democratic "spoiler/crossover" contingent? MADem Jun 2014 #6

There apparently was no significant crossover. former9thward Jun 2014 #16

I read there was a down low whisper campaign.... nt MADem Jun 2014 #18

FWIW, after the election a RW pollster reported.... HooptieWagon Jun 2014 #5

Exactly and those who voted for Brat.. busterbrown Jun 2014 #7

I don't recall impeachment being mentioned in the poll. HooptieWagon Jun 2014 #8

You must be kidding ?? busterbrown Jun 2014 #12

I agree. nt Quixote1818 Jun 2014 #9

Bullshit, they voted for him because he's not Cantor. Warpy Jun 2014 #10

Selective??? The Far Right Tea Bagger Party busterbrown Jun 2014 #11

I agree with your last sentence. They didn't want Cantor. Warpy Jun 2014 #13

thanks for the explanation.... busterbrown Jun 2014 #14

Agreed. HooptieWagon Jun 2014 #15

That district might be changing--they voted for MARK WARNER. MADem Jun 2014 #19

Yep, the new fascist right. joshcryer Jun 2014 #17

Brat is a product of Koch Industries. Snarkoleptic Jun 2014 #20

They especially love the fact that he understands the politics of FEAR-LYING.. busterbrown Jun 2014 #21

It's not Brat's huge win. It's Cantor's huge loss. Iggo Jun 2014 #22

Notice huge was in� quotes�... Many feel it was because Brat had a populists theme of busterbrown Jun 2014 #23

Ah! Iggo Jun 2014 #24