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Response to MADem (Reply #6)

Sat Jun 14, 2014, 03:13 PM

16. There apparently was no significant crossover.

1) Crossover attempts rarely work and 2) they have to be organized. Democrats did not even pay attention to that race until Tuesday night.

Little evidence for widespread Democratic cross over voting to oppose Cantor in GOP primary
Vote counts show turnout did not spike higher in more Democratic-voting counties, and Cantor lost most support in Republican strongholds.

Likewise, Cantor saw the biggest drop-off in support in Republican strongholds of Hanover (-44 percentage points) and New Kent (-44 points), counties where Obama drew just over 30 percent of the vote in 2012. In Henrico County where Obama won 55 percent support, Cantor's drop-off was a smaller 32 points. The overall correlation between Obama's county support and Cantor's drop-off was clearly negative at -.60, indicating that the higher Obama's 2012 support, the lower Republican primary turnout rose this year. This is consistent with the idea that Republicans largely drove the rise in turnout.



http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/06/11/did-democratic-votes-doom-eric-cantor/

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busterbrown Jun 2014 OP
warrior1 Jun 2014 #1
busterbrown Jun 2014 #3
MADem Jun 2014 #2
busterbrown Jun 2014 #4
MADem Jun 2014 #6
LineLineLineLineNew Reply There apparently was no significant crossover.
former9thward Jun 2014 #16
MADem Jun 2014 #18
HooptieWagon Jun 2014 #5
busterbrown Jun 2014 #7
HooptieWagon Jun 2014 #8
busterbrown Jun 2014 #12
Quixote1818 Jun 2014 #9
Warpy Jun 2014 #10
busterbrown Jun 2014 #11
Warpy Jun 2014 #13
busterbrown Jun 2014 #14
HooptieWagon Jun 2014 #15
MADem Jun 2014 #19
joshcryer Jun 2014 #17
Snarkoleptic Jun 2014 #20
busterbrown Jun 2014 #21
Iggo Jun 2014 #22
busterbrown Jun 2014 #23
Iggo Jun 2014 #24
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