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MADem

(135,425 posts)
19. That district might be changing--they voted for MARK WARNER.
Sat Jun 14, 2014, 04:27 PM
Jun 2014

And apparently twenty percent of voters are African American. With enough motivation, there could be a surprise:

Translated for a state that was once the Confederate capital, states’ rights nostalgia equals Voter-ID restrictions; Judeo-Christian principles means Bible-thumping; and free market sounds like predatory lending and sticking it to the working and middle class.

That’s reason enough that African-American voters in Virginia’s 7th Congressional District should and can try to win that seat back for Democrats.

Black voters are the decisive key to a general election upset that’s as tectonic-plate-shifting as Brat’s primary sucker punch. At the moment, though, the Dems seem satisfied to gleefully stomp on Cantor’s political grave. Stuck on conventional wisdom that’s similar to those “establishment” Republican rivals who got punked by Brat, Democratic strategists have already resigned Virginia’s 7th to its red-state faithful.

That would be a mistake, though, and a nasty face palm to a rather robust black Virginia electorate. While it’s overwhelmingly white, Cantor’s district is also nearly 20 percent black, according to Census Bureau data—in line with Virginia’s overall population. The state’s changing fast, and it’s creating all sorts of creative voting blocs of color—a major reason President Barack Obama won it in 2008 and 2012.

It depends now on what Democrats do and the appeal of Democratic nominee Jack Trammell—who, like Brat, is a Randolph-Macon College professor. You can laugh; did you laugh when a black man with the middle name Hussein ran for president six years ago?

It’s not like Cantor’s seat was all that locked up for Republicans: the majority leader went from garnering 76 percent of the vote in 2004 to snagging only 58 percent in 2012. And while the district has been reliably red since 1996, it leaned blue enough to vote for current Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.) in 2008.

http://www.theroot.com/articles/politics/2014/06/black_voters_and_democrats_shouldn_t_give_dave_brat_a_pass.html?wpisrc=burger


Sometimes the conventional wisdom doesn't carry through. Time will tell--time, and organization. Someone should get ahold of Trammell, clean him up a bit, hone his message and teach him how to give a non-responsive response when he doesn't know the answer.

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They voted for ABC warrior1 Jun 2014 #1
Yea.. because Cantor unwillingly shook hands with Obama.. A few times.. busterbrown Jun 2014 #3
Have they done any reporting on the crossover vote? MADem Jun 2014 #2
Their hatred of Cantor was based on the facts ... busterbrown Jun 2014 #4
Really? There was no help from the Democratic "spoiler/crossover" contingent? MADem Jun 2014 #6
There apparently was no significant crossover. former9thward Jun 2014 #16
I read there was a down low whisper campaign.... nt MADem Jun 2014 #18
FWIW, after the election a RW pollster reported.... HooptieWagon Jun 2014 #5
Exactly and those who voted for Brat.. busterbrown Jun 2014 #7
I don't recall impeachment being mentioned in the poll. HooptieWagon Jun 2014 #8
You must be kidding ?? busterbrown Jun 2014 #12
I agree. nt Quixote1818 Jun 2014 #9
Bullshit, they voted for him because he's not Cantor. Warpy Jun 2014 #10
Selective??? The Far Right Tea Bagger Party busterbrown Jun 2014 #11
I agree with your last sentence. They didn't want Cantor. Warpy Jun 2014 #13
thanks for the explanation.... busterbrown Jun 2014 #14
Agreed. HooptieWagon Jun 2014 #15
That district might be changing--they voted for MARK WARNER. MADem Jun 2014 #19
Yep, the new fascist right. joshcryer Jun 2014 #17
Brat is a product of Koch Industries. Snarkoleptic Jun 2014 #20
They especially love the fact that he understands the politics of FEAR-LYING.. busterbrown Jun 2014 #21
It's not Brat's huge win. It's Cantor's huge loss. Iggo Jun 2014 #22
Notice huge was in” quotes”... Many feel it was because Brat had a populists theme of busterbrown Jun 2014 #23
Ah! Iggo Jun 2014 #24
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Dave Brat’s “Huge” win wa...»Reply #19