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Response to Warpy (Reply #10)

Sat Jun 14, 2014, 04:27 PM

19. That district might be changing--they voted for MARK WARNER.

And apparently twenty percent of voters are African American. With enough motivation, there could be a surprise:

Translated for a state that was once the Confederate capital, states’ rights nostalgia equals Voter-ID restrictions; Judeo-Christian principles means Bible-thumping; and free market sounds like predatory lending and sticking it to the working and middle class.

That’s reason enough that African-American voters in Virginia’s 7th Congressional District should and can try to win that seat back for Democrats.

Black voters are the decisive key to a general election upset that’s as tectonic-plate-shifting as Brat’s primary sucker punch. At the moment, though, the Dems seem satisfied to gleefully stomp on Cantor’s political grave. Stuck on conventional wisdom that’s similar to those “establishment” Republican rivals who got punked by Brat, Democratic strategists have already resigned Virginia’s 7th to its red-state faithful.

That would be a mistake, though, and a nasty face palm to a rather robust black Virginia electorate. While it’s overwhelmingly white, Cantor’s district is also nearly 20 percent black, according to Census Bureau data—in line with Virginia’s overall population. The state’s changing fast, and it’s creating all sorts of creative voting blocs of color—a major reason President Barack Obama won it in 2008 and 2012.

It depends now on what Democrats do and the appeal of Democratic nominee Jack Trammell—who, like Brat, is a Randolph-Macon College professor. You can laugh; did you laugh when a black man with the middle name Hussein ran for president six years ago?

It’s not like Cantor’s seat was all that locked up for Republicans: the majority leader went from garnering 76 percent of the vote in 2004 to snagging only 58 percent in 2012. And while the district has been reliably red since 1996, it leaned blue enough to vote for current Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.) in 2008.

http://www.theroot.com/articles/politics/2014/06/black_voters_and_democrats_shouldn_t_give_dave_brat_a_pass.html?wpisrc=burger


Sometimes the conventional wisdom doesn't carry through. Time will tell--time, and organization. Someone should get ahold of Trammell, clean him up a bit, hone his message and teach him how to give a non-responsive response when he doesn't know the answer.

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busterbrown Jun 2014 OP
warrior1 Jun 2014 #1
busterbrown Jun 2014 #3
MADem Jun 2014 #2
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former9thward Jun 2014 #16
MADem Jun 2014 #18
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Quixote1818 Jun 2014 #9
Warpy Jun 2014 #10
busterbrown Jun 2014 #11
Warpy Jun 2014 #13
busterbrown Jun 2014 #14
HooptieWagon Jun 2014 #15
LineLineNew Reply That district might be changing--they voted for MARK WARNER.
MADem Jun 2014 #19
joshcryer Jun 2014 #17
Snarkoleptic Jun 2014 #20
busterbrown Jun 2014 #21
Iggo Jun 2014 #22
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