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LittleBlue

(10,362 posts)
Fri Jan 23, 2015, 02:37 PM Jan 2015

Statistical analysis shows how Patriots benefited from deflated ball [View all]

Data Show The Patriots Have Fumbled The Ball Far Less Than Any Other NFL Team

Warren Sharp at Sharp Football Analysis spent a generous amount of time digging into the the Patriots’ records of fumbles and ball security.

He analyzed each team in the league, then plotted them in a chart.



The orange line shows the average number of plays teams run between fumbles: The Eagles anchor the league with one fumble every 76 plays, the Patriots lead with one fumble every 187 plays. Their nearest competitor, the Houston Texans, fumble once every 140 plays.

http://www.buzzfeed.com/lindseyadler/data-shows-the-patriots-have-fumbled-the-ball-far-less-than#.mx6bP76yZn



The team with 190 plays per fumble on the far right are the Patriots. Turnovers have an enormous influence on the outcome of the game, we can see why Belichick loves deflating footballs. You don't need to calculate standard deviation to see that the Patriots are unnaturally outside the average of NFL teams.

NFL Teams That Win Turnover Battle Have 72-17 Record

http://www.coldhardfootballfacts.com/content/nfl-teams-that-win-turnover-battle-have-72-17-record/26247/


I pulled a college graph so that you can see more than 32 teams:


http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2013/8/23/4649718/college-football-turnover-margin-winning-percentage


2 pounds of PSI may not sound like much, but statistically it has contributed significantly to the Patriots winning.


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Now that's pretty damned interesting. trotsky Jan 2015 #1
In the second half, with inflated balls, the pats clobbered the colts. Warren Stupidity Jan 2015 #2
You're killing me. n/t Whiskeytide Jan 2015 #16
It couldn't have anything to do with Belichick benching fumblers, could it? bluedigger Jan 2015 #3
Right. Because Belichick is the only coach in the NFL LittleBlue Jan 2015 #4
He's pretty well known for being extreme about it. bluedigger Jan 2015 #8
A sampling of one is statistically meaningless Motown_Johnny Jan 2015 #5
Given the track record of the Patriots cheating, it's more of a stretch to NOT believe... MohRokTah Jan 2015 #6
So all the officials in all the games were morons? And only the Pats did it? Motown_Johnny Jan 2015 #10
The Patriots ARE the ONLY outlier in the statistics above. MohRokTah Jan 2015 #11
the footballs were under inflated Motown_Johnny Jan 2015 #12
Caught RED HANDED CHEATING MohRokTah Jan 2015 #13
Yawn. Agschmid Jan 2015 #15
Because it is true. eom MohRokTah Jan 2015 #17
That simply isn't true Motown_Johnny Jan 2015 #21
Teh circumstantial evidence is quite enough. GUILTY! MohRokTah Jan 2015 #22
I sincerely hope that was sarcasm n/t Motown_Johnny Jan 2015 #25
Nope, truth. eom MohRokTah Jan 2015 #26
Guilty before proof, sure seems like a good democratic ideal. Agschmid Jan 2015 #30
Sorry. Circumstantial evidence... Whiskeytide Jan 2015 #32
Having fun? Agschmid Jan 2015 #41
A ball. I'm a Steelers fan... Whiskeytide Jan 2015 #42
Guilty people are guilty from the moment the crime is committed. Donald Ian Rankin Jan 2015 #33
How many rushing plays do they run KamaAina Jan 2015 #7
There's no telling from game to game underpants Jan 2015 #18
Of course, one does tend to run it a lot when one is up 45-7 KamaAina Jan 2015 #20
BAd science. GeorgeGist Jan 2015 #9
That is really revealing ... Whiskeytide Jan 2015 #14
:-) underpants Jan 2015 #19
They beat the Colts 45-7 instead of 38-7 underpants Jan 2015 #23
or they've been cheating since roughly the year 2000 Johonny Jan 2015 #34
any analysis of deflated balls Enrique Jan 2015 #24
The Colts had no sack in that game underpants Jan 2015 #35
I still have the question hfojvt Jan 2015 #27
Eagles fan here Hari Seldon Jan 2015 #28
My question is this: A-Long-Little-Doggie Jan 2015 #29
First half scores DO effect the second half play calls. rickford66 Jan 2015 #31
Question for anyone who's been following this Jim Lane Jan 2015 #36
36 balls are wieghed, measured, and have their pressure tested a few hours before the game ..... Botany Jan 2015 #38
Here is the basic procedure mythology Jan 2015 #39
Strange procedure IMO Jim Lane Jan 2015 #40
You fumble once on that team and you're benched. tranche Jan 2015 #37
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