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cthulu2016

(10,960 posts)
Wed May 9, 2012, 12:34 PM May 2012

Opinion: Obama won't change marriage equality stance pre-election [View all]

Last edited Wed May 9, 2012, 02:03 PM - Edit history (1)

UPDATE: Obama said that civil unions are not sufficient and affirmed that "Same-sex couples shoul be able to get married" and I have never been happier to have been wrong in a prediction. It is a calculated political decision and it says good things that this is being analyzed in the WH as a positive move. My erroneous prediction is left unedited here for posterity.


This is an election season.

For a politician to change a long-standing position during an election the issue has to be seriously hurting him. It has to be like Humphrey giving up on the Vietnam War as a last ditch.

Obama's current stance is not hurting him more than changing that stance would so it is not going to happen. In my opinion.

Elections are when political expedience is most relatively acceptable. IMO.

I hope I am wrong in this because if Obama were to roll out a more liberal view on marriage equality it would mean they had the numbers or a theory to back it as a smart political move here and now. And I would be delighted to live somewhere where endorsing marriage equality garnered net votes.

(And as to whether Biden's comments were part of a strategy... no. C'mon. I love Joe Biden precisely because his utterances can never be assumed to be planned.)
8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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I agree SoutherDem May 2012 #1
OK I was wrong SoutherDem May 2012 #7
I think he comes out with support today. trumad May 2012 #2
You pre-empted my question. I was getting ready to ask if you thought limpyhobbler May 2012 #3
Alternate theory: cthulu2016 May 2012 #4
I think he will change his stance pre-election emulatorloo May 2012 #5
Looks like you were wrong. Link here: emulatorloo May 2012 #6
. bigtree May 2012 #8
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