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In reply to the discussion: Self-driving trucks will be job-killers. [View all]kentauros
(29,414 posts)108. "Anticipation" is basically programming, be it in a human brain or a silicon one.
Here's a link you might like, from an Autodesk blog on something they call "Reality Computing" and a quote from it on self-driving vehicles:
At CES 2015, NVIDIAa company that a lot of people associate with gaming technology but is also a leading developer of autonomous automotive platformsdemonstrated its new Drive PX and DriveCX computers that enable self-driving cars.
The Drive PX processes data from a range of sensors such as laser, radar, or cameras that capture and monitor the environment around the car. It then uses that live data combined with very sophisticated feature recognition technology it calls deep neural learning to dynamically recognize objects around the car including other vehicles, street signs, road works, pedestrians, and so on. The Drive CX is the digital cockpit computerin charge of speech processing, high-resolution digital instrument display, navigation, and infotainment graphics.
The Drive PX processes data from a range of sensors such as laser, radar, or cameras that capture and monitor the environment around the car. It then uses that live data combined with very sophisticated feature recognition technology it calls deep neural learning to dynamically recognize objects around the car including other vehicles, street signs, road works, pedestrians, and so on. The Drive CX is the digital cockpit computerin charge of speech processing, high-resolution digital instrument display, navigation, and infotainment graphics.
One thing I know I've read elsewhere is the concept that the cars will communicate with each other. That way, you have an entire mass of vehicles that know the lay of the road, as well as the location of the vehicles that aren't self-driving. My educated guess is that the software will take that kind of thing into account and have the vehicles drive accordingly, or in anticipation of any number of unsafe driving actions.
And really, if you think about it, every kind of unsafe form of driving is a finite number and can be easily programmed for the software to anticipate. As for animals, we could probably get our state governments to install extra sensors in areas where they put up the various animal-crossing signs that would then communicate with the vehicles. Problem not necessarily solved, just additional precautions taken.
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It's a long, long way off in America. DOT can't even get electronic logs in all trucks.
In_The_Wind
May 2015
#15
The future is coming. I bet in 10 years there are self driving trucks working daily. nt
Logical
May 2015
#72
The trend is that any new jobs created need lots of skill or requires an advanced degree
AZ Progressive
May 2015
#4
Blacksmiths could become mechanics or body repairmen. Today, are they to retrain to be robots or
leveymg
May 2015
#52
In what world do you live in where drivers that are "drunk or high" is commonplace?
A HERETIC I AM
May 2015
#49
I've never known or heard of such drunk, high, irresponsible and sleep deprived truckers.
appalachiablue
May 2015
#58
Appreciate your raising the truth of what's rarely mentioned, that apart from the robotic
appalachiablue
May 2015
#22
That occurred to me too, like a caravan or convoy of trucks, train cars, tanks, horses with
appalachiablue
May 2015
#88
+1. So cruel the GOP won't let people get a little money before being displaced by bots-
appalachiablue
May 2015
#36
Just Like They Pay Some Farmers Not To Farm - Corporations Will Have To Pay.....
global1
May 2015
#10
so were horseless carriages......and telephones...and electricity....and computers......
bowens43
May 2015
#11
Oh, I agree, but I have no idea what to do about it. I'd be interested in hearing Krugman's ideas.
Adrahil
May 2015
#20
Productivity growth is down at the moment. It doesn't look like the robots are taking over anymore
Chathamization
May 2015
#60
+100. They don't ask and they don't care. Machine-Tech worship and fantasy isn't my art.
appalachiablue
May 2015
#25
Not only that, but they may only be economical (at first) for long-haul rides
Recursion
May 2015
#65
I can even predict the nostalgic op-eds about the kids who don't know about driving around aimlessly
Recursion
May 2015
#84
Lots of renewable energy plants are hiring. So is biotech. So are a lot of small farms
Recursion
May 2015
#66
They will. And Taxi's too. Used to have elevator operators too. Technology waits for no one. nt
Logical
May 2015
#74
You are short sighted on how technology advances. And landing a plane is much harder than driving. n
Logical
May 2015
#109
I always have questions for Doom and Gloom Disguised as Optimism threads such as this.
HughBeaumont
May 2015
#47
I didn't say they wouldn't be safe. My post WAS about driver error.
cherokeeprogressive
May 2015
#76
Humans can't anticipate either, we guess, and I would actually think that a computer...
Humanist_Activist
May 2015
#93
We make guesses, some are educated, many are not, but the point is that I don't...
Humanist_Activist
May 2015
#96
"Anticipation" is basically programming, be it in a human brain or a silicon one.
kentauros
May 2015
#108
This makes sense for first usage of autonomous trucks(and possibly cars), in environment where....
Humanist_Activist
May 2015
#98
This is only the beginning, and I don't think the world economy is equipped to handle it at this...
Humanist_Activist
May 2015
#99
And the techies don't care because they look down the rest of society anyway
AZ Progressive
May 2015
#101
That's actually completely untrue, I am one of those techies, and we are talking about...
Humanist_Activist
May 2015
#103
It could be a golden opportunity rather than something to fear, but only if governments, culture...
Humanist_Activist
May 2015
#111
This at the very least is another method of reducing the bargaining power of workers
AZ Progressive
May 2015
#100
If it leads to more efficiency and, with the right public policies, a better standard of living...
Humanist_Activist
May 2015
#104
Well, first step is to get Republicans out of office, they hate any public policies that...
Humanist_Activist
May 2015
#107