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JonLP24

(29,935 posts)
11. He supports expanding social security so do 80% of Americans
Mon Jun 1, 2015, 04:03 PM
Jun 2015

On that I always remember mainstream Democrats were running around pushing a payroll tax cut for the third year in a row because it makes Republicans look like hypocrites on tax cuts during elections which Obama himself used for rhetoric Bernie Sanders was talking about "lifting the cap" which used to be a traditional Democratic policy and Bernie Sanders seems to be one of the fewer traditional Democrats still around.

The coward strategy or hiding from the truth isn't helpful while liberal policies won the midterms but there is always a drop-off a turnout when the Presidency isn't at stake and will only get worse with Republicans finding creative ways to decrease turnout while Democrats scold those who didn't turnout while Bernie Sanders could inspire turnout.

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Who turns out to vote and why is of much more than academic interest. In an era of increasingly polarized politics, campaign strategists must decide how much effort to put into persuading independent-minded voters to come out and support their candidate without antagonizing their party’s core supporters, who are more likely to vote anyway. Obama’s victories in 2008 and 2012 were largely due to his campaign’s success in expanding the electorate — inspiring new voters and increasing turnout among blacks.

<snip>

Though political scientists long have noted the midterm dropoff, they don’t agree on precisely what it means. In an influential 1987 article, James E. Campbell theorized that “the surge of interest and information in presidential elections” typically works to the advantage of one party or the other; that party’s partisans become more likely to vote, while those of the disadvantaged party are more likely to stay home during presidential elections. Independents, “lacking a standing partisan commitment…should divide disproportionately in favor of the advantaged party.” Midterm elections lack that “wow” factor, according to Campbell, and turnout among both partisans and independents return to more normal levels and patterns.

A recent paper by Brown University researcher Brian Knight seeks to evaluate that surge-and-decline theory, as well as two competing explanations of why the president’s party nearly always loses seats at the midterms: a “presidential penalty,” or general preference among midterm voters for expressing dissatisfaction with the president’s performance or ensuring that his party doesn’t control all the levers of government, and recurring shifts in voter ideology between presidential and midterm elections. Knight concluded that while all three factors contribute to what he calls the “midterm gap,” the presidential penalty has the most impact.

http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2014/07/24/voter-turnout-always-drops-off-for-midterm-elections-but-why/

It is interesting what people "identify as" but on the issues Americans are solidly liberal -- Republicans use a lot of disinformation & propaganda BS the sit by the radio Rush listeners and Fox News viewed as "most trusted" by the most people out of 24/7 news channels and big 3 stations if they told the truth and they're so desperately clinging to the "tax and spend liberal" label.

Record Number of Americans identify as liberal in 2014



http://thinkprogress.org/election/2015/01/09/3609934/more-americans-liberal-2/

I'm interested in probability, numbers, polls, etc as a side hobby so I do see Bernie Sanders as the most mainstream candidate but the media are going to push relentlessly he isn't for so long he wasn't even worth mentioning by the media as a candidate it was always the Bidens or O'Malleys or somebody treated more seriously.


Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

GodDamned right they are hootinholler Jun 2015 #1
Yes And HRC's Are Not billhicks76 Jun 2015 #26
The proof of that is in the crowds he's drawing Warpy Jun 2015 #2
Agree 100% with this... Whiskeytide Jun 2015 #3
Sen Sanders positions are what should be mainstream Democrat. However, the New Democrats rhett o rick Jun 2015 #4
What rick said! SoapBox Jun 2015 #12
+1 Go Vols Jun 2015 #24
Purrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr Plucketeer Jun 2015 #31
This is it. FlatBaroque Jun 2015 #5
So true kenfrequed Jun 2015 #6
They ignore it because they have a story to tell jeff47 Jun 2015 #16
If Sanders is out of step, LBJ couldn't walk a straight line.. Eleanors38 Jun 2015 #7
I hope someone posts the video SamKnause Jun 2015 #8
+1 daleanime Jun 2015 #19
Here ya go Go Vols Jun 2015 #27
Thank you. SamKnause Jun 2015 #29
Watching now Go Vols Jun 2015 #30
I thoroughly enjoyed the last SamKnause Jun 2015 #41
Just got done Go Vols Jun 2015 #42
Yes they are and the only ones who don't know it is the corporate media and their paid shills. onecaliberal Jun 2015 #9
They are ...and not only that they also are among the unpartizan common sense population of the US. L0oniX Jun 2015 #10
He supports expanding social security so do 80% of Americans JonLP24 Jun 2015 #11
Excuse me, please. juajen Jun 2015 #21
Grammar policing a sustantive post BrotherIvan Jun 2015 #35
Harder to see the post in the text box JonLP24 Jun 2015 #43
Bernie's positions stand for Main Street MissDeeds Jun 2015 #13
Our news media The Wizard Jun 2015 #14
The news media will ALWAYS come back to the "S" word. MohRokTah Jun 2015 #15
Safe? daleanime Jun 2015 #20
Socialist. eom MohRokTah Jun 2015 #28
Oh, after 6 years.... daleanime Jun 2015 #32
Bernie embraces the term. MohRokTah Jun 2015 #34
HUGE K & R !!! - THANK YOU !!! WillyT Jun 2015 #17
Our politicians and media have redefined right-wing positions as "mainstream" I hate liars Jun 2015 #18
You have identified the problem. We are the victims of an elaborate scam. Enthusiast Jun 2015 #25
Why do you think the other side has been running the worst possible candidates in the world BrotherIvan Jun 2015 #38
I'm convinced they're playing the Washington Generals. Enthusiast Jun 2015 #40
When polled many self-proclaimed conservatives actually believe in the things Bernie proposes. Dont call me Shirley Jun 2015 #22
Recommended. H2O Man Jun 2015 #23
This is a great article to share with anyone interested BrotherIvan Jun 2015 #33
Harry Smith, NBC News, just said project_bluebook Jun 2015 #36
I don't believe the corporate media when it reports on any Democrat. Cerridwen Jun 2015 #37
I think so too. ananda Jun 2015 #39
K&R! myrna minx Jun 2015 #44
absolutely mainstream. nt Cheese Sandwich Jun 2015 #45
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