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In reply to the discussion: Obama Is Crushing Romney In Karl Rove's New Electoral Map [View all]GoCubsGo
(34,985 posts)They HATE Romney here--enough that many will either stay home or vote third party. We also have a growing Hispanic population. Throw in all the retired military who live here, many of whom are disgusted with the GOP and their war-mongering, and you have a toss-up. Furthermore, we have no Senators or Governor up for re-election, so there is not as much additional incentive to go out and vote. No right-wing dog-whistles on the ballot, either. I have seen at least two or three polls that have the President within 5 points of Romney. It wouldn't surprise me if that difference shrinks further, especially as things like his foreign bank accounts get brought to the forefront. Even die-hard republicans here are recognizing that Romney is far more "not like us" than is Obama.