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Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)

9. 17 is just a number. If you discount Gilmore, Pataki, Jindal, Graham, etc. (as the Republicans have)

Reply to longship (Reply #8)

Sun Aug 16, 2015, 08:05 PM

Aug 2015

and get the field down to perhaps 8 or 9 candidates who have at least a 1 in 20 chance. The other 8 or 9 candidates are just background noise (those polling at 0% to less than 2%).

Once you eliminate the background noise, the field is not very different in quantity than the 1988 Democratic field, the 2000 Republican field, or the 2008 Republican field.

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538: "Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record" [View all] Attorney in Texas Aug 2015 OP

Terrible argument! longship Aug 2015 #1

That point was expressly addressed in the article. Trump will not be the nominee. Carry on. Attorney in Texas Aug 2015 #2

Well, if there are 17 candidates, likely nobody is going to get 25%!!! longship Aug 2015 #6

You're going to argue statistics with a professional statistician with a shockingly accurate success Attorney in Texas Aug 2015 #7

Well, not that accurate this far out. longship Aug 2015 #8

17 is just a number. If you discount Gilmore, Pataki, Jindal, Graham, etc. (as the Republicans have) Attorney in Texas Aug 2015 #9

more data: "Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination" Attorney in Texas Aug 2015 #3

The far right has its Jon Stewart on. Eleanors38 Aug 2015 #4

Another small point is that asd we get closer to the conventions... TreasonousBastard Aug 2015 #5