General Discussion

Robbins

(5,066 posts)

15. Republicans

Tue Dec 27, 2011, 06:35 PM

Dec 2011

I think Paul will win In Iowa but If Gingrich can pull out a second this Is still a race.Gingrich Is starting to go after Romney's flip
flopping.Bachman Is done after Iowa.Expect a lot ofattacks on Paul before NH.Romney will NH.But If Gingrich or Paul can finish a
strong second that can be spun In their favor.Remember Clinton actully finished second In NH but few remember that now.Romney
will win the Michigan primary and Nevada caucus.Santorm,and Huntsman are done after NH.If Gingrich could finish strong second
In Iowa and NH he could pull out a win In SC.Paul has trouble In SOuth.And Perry can help keep voters from Romney.Romney has
a southern problem In Primarys.If Gingrich can win SC and then win Florida then you have a Romney and Gingrich fight for super tuesday and possibly beyond.Gingrich can do well In primarys In Tradional Republican states where they don't like Romney If Perry
doesn't cut Into the antiromney.And Romney will do well In States that vote for Democrats among Republicans.

This could go longer than some Think.

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Gingrich win almost certainly be the nominee. The calendar simply favors Newt over Romney. [View all] Bucky Dec 2011 OP

Good stuff. Skinner Dec 2011 #1

You Forgot The Wild Card: The Paulbots... KharmaTrain Dec 2011 #2

I know that's the conventional wisdom. But I don't see Paul winning the Deep South. Bucky Dec 2011 #3

Gnewt's The "Great White Hope"... KharmaTrain Dec 2011 #4

You assume there could ever be a "disciplined" Newt starroute Dec 2011 #5

No, I mentioned that specifically. Bucky Dec 2011 #6

Time will tell, I guess starroute Dec 2011 #7

It all depends on how the "Thank You Jesus" crowd votes. If they swallow hard and go whoring after yellowcanine Dec 2011 #8

No, I think Mitt is it NNN0LHI Dec 2011 #9

I still think it's going to be Mitt. AtomicKitten Dec 2011 #10

Idaho is nearly as Mormon as Utah IDemo Dec 2011 #11

I doubt it... WI_DEM Dec 2011 #12

Or maybe not onenote Dec 2011 #13

I'm with you through the first two months except for a couple of things customerserviceguy Dec 2011 #14

Republicans Robbins Dec 2011 #15

Noot selfdestructed himself into Moot...his record is horrid..his crimes morbid..his lovers torrid opihimoimoi Dec 2011 #16

Your prose florid. And yet Gingrich hasn't dropped much in the polls--that's a myth. Bucky Dec 2011 #28

The dude is a fraud.....its $$$ he is after...he is an EVIL asshole....gives the GOPers a bad name opihimoimoi Dec 2011 #30

i think the powers that be will not allow such a thing. spanone Dec 2011 #17

Newt didn't qualify in Missouri. MjolnirTime Dec 2011 #18

Missouri is a what they call a "beauty contest". former9thward Dec 2011 #22

Latest polls from Iowa show Gingrich tanking onenote Dec 2011 #19

I doubt Newt can beat Mitt in Michigan Motown_Johnny Dec 2011 #20

Great resource. But look at the dates of the polls you're citing. Bucky Dec 2011 #21

Newt's numbers are down too Motown_Johnny Dec 2011 #26

No, I was looking at the Michigan numbers you cited. The more recent the poll, the worse Mitt does. Bucky Dec 2011 #29

Not going to happen. It will be the Mittens. n/t Lil Missy Dec 2011 #23

Bet ya $10,000. A-Schwarzenegger Dec 2011 #24

Sorry, but it's gonna be Mitt. Orsino Dec 2011 #25

Things are smelling less Newty every day. Orsino Jan 2012 #31

Closer...closer. Orsino Jan 2012 #34

I like that post, Bucky. You put a lot of thought into it. joshcryer Dec 2011 #27

Well, now that he has Tawd's endorsement, he's a shoo in onenote Jan 2012 #32

Rove will not let it happen. SomethingFishy Jan 2012 #33

From your keyboard to The Big Electron's ears. nt Guy Whitey Corngood Jan 2012 #35

Waaah!!! Bucky Jan 2012 #36

If I thought it'd help I'd almost be tempted to give him money. Can you imagine the Guy Whitey Corngood Jan 2012 #37

I admire you for acknowledging that your prediction has run aground onenote Jan 2012 #38

Even if that could never happen... Orsino Feb 2012 #39