General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Someone please reassure me [View all]basselope
(2,565 posts)What people are not stopping to consider in their analysis is that in the most important swing states the GOP has spent the last 6 years shoring up their voter suppression efforts in Florida, Wisconsin, North Carolina and Ohio.
They also completely underestimate Trump's ability to say basically anything he wants and keep his core supporters, so he can move to the middle with little to no consequences.
They are also overestimating Clinton's appeal. She does not have the depth of support to drive turnout in any significant numbers, which is what you would need to overcome the voter suppression efforts in the key swing states.
Finally.. Trump is going to destroy her in the debates for one main reason. He is going to portray Clinton as an establishment politician who is easily bought and sold and he has proof, because he has the receipt. He gave the Clinton Foundation 100K in return for favors. She's can't spin her way out of that moment when he looks her in the eye and says "I bought access to you, thus, you are clearly for sale".
She doesn't win in November. Sorry.
But, the good news is that the democrats will likely keep enough in the Senate to stall anything he does.. he will seem ineffective and thin skinned when he doesn't get his way and will be easy to defeat with a decent candidate in 2020.