General Discussion

TwilightZone

(28,836 posts)

9. 33% is probably a little low

Mon Jun 13, 2016, 12:25 PM

Jun 2016

A segment of the population will vote R, regardless of the nominee.

A segment of the population will vote against Hillary, because...Hillary.

A segment of the population pays little or no attention to politics.

A segment of the population isn't exposed to Trump on any regular basis.

The GOP will desperately try to moderate Trump by the GE. They'll mostly fail, but not entirely.

Combine those and other factors, and I think his floor is probably 40%, which would still be a massive blowout. Reagan/Mondale proportions.

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Joy of joys! Trump is determined to lose. [View all] skip fox Jun 2016 OP

He is trying hard to end his campaign ghostsinthemachine Jun 2016 #1

That's what his crazy voter base believes. Not going to win new voters w this n/t emulatorloo Jun 2016 #2

Nobody has informed him leftynyc Jun 2016 #3

Plus, he's simply stupid-in-love with himself. skip fox Jun 2016 #4

That tweet patting himself leftynyc Jun 2016 #6

needless to say, banning Muslims would not have stopped this Orlando scumbag RussBLib Jun 2016 #8

excellent point about the general...He will get no more than 33 percent total, if he says in... Stuart G Jun 2016 #5

Don't kid yourself leftynyc Jun 2016 #7

33% is probably a little low TwilightZone Jun 2016 #9

i think his floor is lower - 30% patsimp Jun 2016 #11

His stupid responses seem to suggest that. And more guns in a dark room with alcohol would patsimp Jun 2016 #10

Let's compare his speech today skip fox Jun 2016 #12

Taking other people's advice means having to remember stuff. Orsino Jun 2016 #13

From an Atlantic reader... worstexever Jun 2016 #14

If the GOP really wanted him out, summerschild Jun 2016 #15