Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News Editorials & Other Articles General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

General Discussion

phazed0

(745 posts)

11. Sure I can..

Reply to Adrahil (Reply #10)

Mon Jun 20, 2016, 02:30 PM

Jun 2016

There's a whole site that is dedicated to doing just that. http://fivethirtyeight.com/

Also, 5pts has been the margin of error numbers for most of these... so that's not good in my eyes. Yes it could be higher for Clinton but that would be guessing, it may very well may be a very close race, ATM.

I'm quite worried about the General, Hillary can spit out a bunch of reasonable stuff.. but it's been pretty clear that "reasonable stuff" isn't what wins.

Click here to purchase valentine hearts!

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

29 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Brand New Monmouth University Poll- Clinton 47% Trump 40% (registered voters) 49-41 (likely voters) [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2016 OP

I can't believe that it's that close. lapfog_1 Jun 2016 #1

I'll take your 47 and raise you 10. 6chars Jun 2016 #2

Agreed. TwilightZone Jun 2016 #3

And most of those negatives are from Sanders supporters Doctor Jack Jun 2016 #9

And yet MSNBC is claiming that Hillary has lost points against Rump stopbush Jun 2016 #4

MSNBC is full of shit Doctor Jack Jun 2016 #6

Don't Kill The Messenger jamese777 Jun 2016 #20

Media will always claim its closer than it really is IronLionZion Jun 2016 #18

^^THIS^^ Sophiegirl Jun 2016 #21

That's WAY too close... n/t TygrBright Jun 2016 #5

Just wait until more sanders people get on board Doctor Jack Jun 2016 #7

We have to find a way to stop alienating them, first. nt phazed0 Jun 2016 #12

So in other words, nothing has changed since the Reuters poll on the 9th? phazed0 Jun 2016 #8

You can't really compare individual polls from different pollsters. Adrahil Jun 2016 #10

Sure I can.. phazed0 Jun 2016 #11

538 is averaging polls. It isn't comparing polls. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2016 #16

OK, so polls averaged.. still not looking good. nt phazed0 Jun 2016 #25

I guess it depends if one is a Clinton supporter or a Trump supporter. DemocratSinceBirth Jun 2016 #26

Democrats usually do worse with likely voter samples, not better bluestateguy Jun 2016 #13

Keep ignoring polls, for now SpankMe Jun 2016 #14

That's a little close for a solid blue state in a POTUS year... demmayhem Jun 2016 #15

Its a National Poll jamese777 Jun 2016 #24

Its WAY too early to give this any weight. I mean its better than being behind, but ....... fifthquartile Jun 2016 #17

Let's Vote! moreland01 Jun 2016 #19

The political bettin houses Cryptoad Jun 2016 #22

"Romney Leads Obama by 7 points" jamese777 Jun 2016 #23

Yes I remember bluestateguy Jun 2016 #27

National polls are always problematic NastyRiffraff Jun 2016 #28

ALL I KNOW IS THE DEMS HAVE TO PULL THIS OUT!!!!!! eom a kennedy Jun 2016 #29