# General Discussion

Showing Original Post only (View all)# Republicans are whistling past the graveyard [View all]

Look at these results:

MONTANA AT-LARGE DISTRICT

2002: GOP wins by 32 points

2004: GOP wins by 32 points

2006: GOP wins by 20 points

2008: GOP wins by 32 points

2010: GOP wins by 27 points

2012: GOP wins by 11 points

2014: GOP wins by 15 points

2016: GOP wins by 16 points

*** 2017 SPECIAL ELECTION: GOP wins by 6 points ***

The average GOP margin of victory in that district over the last 8 cycles has been 23 POINTS.

Dems cut that to 6 POINTS this year.

KANSAS 4TH DISTRICT

2002: GOP wins by 24 points

2004: GOP wins by 35 points

2006: GOP wins by 30 points

2008: GOP wins by 31 points

2010: GOP wins by 22 points

2012: GOP wins by 31 points

2014: GOP wins by 33 points

2016: GOP wins by 31 points

*** 2017 SPECIAL ELECTION: GOP wins by 7 points ***

The average GOP margin of victory in that district over the last 8 cycles has been 30 POINTS.

Dems cut that to 7 POINTS this year.

GEORGIA 6TH DISTRICT

2002: GOP wins by 60 points

2004: No Dem candidate

2006: GOP wins by 44 points

2008: GOP wins by 37 points

2010: No Dem candidate

2012: GOP wins by 30 points

2014: GOP wins by 32 points

2016: GOP wins by 23 pointss

*** 2017 SPECIAL ELECTION: GOP wins by 4 points ***

The average GOP margin of victory in that district over the last 8 cycles has been 38 POINTS.

Dems cut that to 4 POINTS this year.

These are deep red districts. Democrats are massively overperforming this year compared to historical trends. Republicans can put on a brave face but if these swings are repeated nationwide next year they are in big trouble IMO.

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