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Baclava

(12,047 posts)

20. Don't trust computer models this far out, they can change quickly

Reply to underpants (Original post)

Sun Sep 3, 2017, 03:54 PM

Sep 2017

Irma is being pushed to the south of west by a strong area of high pressure to its north.

Irma has made the expected turn to the west-southwest, and the next few days will be very important in determining where the storm goes next.

The hurricane is expected to turn back to the west on Monday. How far south it is when it makes that turn will determine if it strikes the Leeward Islands, and, further down the road, any potential impact on the U.S

http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2017/09/hurricane_irma_2017_strengthen.html

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11 possible tracks for Irma. 9 are on the east coast. 9/3/17 [View all] underpants Sep 2017 OP

I imaginethat the US Open will have some problems malaise Sep 2017 #1

NFL opening weekend next weekend. underpants Sep 2017 #2

Here's Irma's actual track to date malaise Sep 2017 #4

I thought they sent Fabio home...NT OneBlueDotBama Sep 2017 #3

They did - hope they ban him for life malaise Sep 2017 #8

Two of those tracks go right over my house... VMA131Marine Sep 2017 #5

I'm in central CT too. We got lucky in Sandy, lost power for less than a day and... George II Sep 2017 #9

Or orange. nt tblue37 Sep 2017 #17

Hah! Good catch. I can't even root for Syracuse anymore! George II Sep 2017 #33

I found Irene to be far worse than Sandy. NutmegYankee Sep 2017 #32

I'm in the crosshairs on those two tracks also.. annabanana Sep 2017 #22

One of those looks on track to hit Mar Lago, Trump's resort in Florida, or very close. Liberty Belle Sep 2017 #6

tRump enid602 Sep 2017 #10

Free deportation more likely! nt Kleveland Sep 2017 #15

9? I count 4, including FL. Five are over the Atlantic. WinkyDink Sep 2017 #7

Well I meant NOT IN THE GULF underpants Sep 2017 #11

Don't skeer me! I'm right next to NJ! WinkyDink Sep 2017 #12

Feeling grateful for the Georgia Bight aikoaiko Sep 2017 #13

As it gets closer, the the lines will converge. Image below alfredo Sep 2017 #14

Thank goodness Houston isn't in the path. But oh, my; New Orleans is close. Honeycombe8 Sep 2017 #16

Eeekk...one path takes it along the Gulf Coastline Grammy23 Sep 2017 #18

That's called "pulling a Katrina". Ligyron Sep 2017 #21

You're thinking of another storm misanthrope Sep 2017 #25

No, sorry but Katrina first hit just south of me in Broward County. Ligyron Sep 2017 #30

Sorry, I was confused by Grammy's post to which you replied. misanthrope Sep 2017 #34

no problem Ligyron Sep 2017 #35

Oh no! Where will Trump golf? left-of-center2012 Sep 2017 #19

Don't trust computer models this far out, they can change quickly Baclava Sep 2017 #20

Much like the high pressure ridge kept Irma from recurving misanthrope Sep 2017 #26

12 hours later, there is more consensus Warpy Sep 2017 #23

The latest spaghetti models have an improved look jberryhill Sep 2017 #29

Haiti. n/t garybeck Sep 2017 #24

Infrared imagery of Hurricane Irma from Sunday morning. (NOAA) Goonch Sep 2017 #27

Links to updated (and archived) model tracks nitpicker Sep 2017 #28

Well those were nice while they lasted. nt B2G Sep 2017 #31