General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: War with NK will be inevitable. [View all]Lee-Lee
(6,324 posts)#1 is an internal coup that will end up destroying the country from within. The Kim family are masters of manipulating their military leaders to the point that they never know what is a test from the Kim regime, and nobody trusts anyone else, making that very unlikely to happen.
#2, and the more possible one, is that China engineers a coup similar to how the Soviets engineered their takeover of Afghanistan and installed their people at the onset of the Soviet-Afghan war. An already friendly "ally" has its advisors helping the country all take steps to facilitate a decapitation of the leadership and the installation of a new leader. In the case in Afghanistan the Soviets made sure that their advisors all too steps to keep the Afghan military out of the fight. For one example adivisors to the armored divisions near Kabul told the Afghans to take all their tank batteries out and load them on a truck because they were getting all brand new ones in the morning, so that night none of the tanks could be brought to fight the coup. Another told his units leaders that there was going to be a drill to test te palace guards so that when they heart gunfire and radio reports they thought it was an exercise.