Bernie Sanders Reaches New High in Support: Poll

[karynnj]

60. Both of the recent changes could just be noise

Obviously, their percents are negatively correlated. If there are other polls - all showing the same small changes in the same directions, it would be more believable. What it might counter is that the debate had much impact.

It will be more interesting to see whether Clinton's more aggressive ISIS position will have an impact -- or whether her hawkishness is already baked in OR that the Democrats, who we know are far more hawkish than DU, agree with her. This may especially be true as the alternative is NOT Obama's administration's position but O'Malley, who few have listened to yet, and Bernie.

Given the fact that DU is not in the inflamed mode of say September 2014 when Obama spoke of a limited targeted strike on Syria -- it might be that the political fight is one of "teams" and personalities -- as much as issues. If I saw more concern on DU, I might speculate that that speech would cause some to rethink HRC and look more closely at O'Malley and Sanders. I suspect though US politics is not that issue driven -- especially when people know that the circumstances will be different in January 2017 than now --- and we have no idea in what way.