Trump 41%, Clinton 39%

[elljay]

64. They have to show up at the polls

Minorities and young people traditionally have some "issues" in getting to the polls. Obama motivated both groups to show up and stand on line for hours to make sure they voted because they liked him. Hillary's support is fairly strong among minorities though not as strong as Obama's, and is incredibly weak among young people and Independents. In this election, the Democrats will need not only to bring out the majority of the one-third of Americans who are registered Democrats, but also the majority of the one-third who are Independent. Instead of having a candidate like Obama whom they very much liked, we have a candidate that young people, Independents, and a large minority of Democrats generally do not like or support. The motivation to get these groups to show up at the polls and vote for Hillary seems to be that they must vote for her because Trump is worse. The question to be answered is whether this will be sufficient to draw people to the polls.