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Hissyspit

(45,790 posts)
Mon Jul 25, 2016, 05:13 AM Jul 2016

New CNN Poll: Trump Bounces Into the Lead [View all]

Source: CNN

Trump bounces into the lead

By Jennifer Agiesta CNN Polling Director
Published On: Jul 25 2016 05:01:24 AM CDT
(CNN) -

The bounce is back.

Donald Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in two-way matchups.

There hasn't been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN's polling since 2000. That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all the way to the Supreme Court.

The new findings mark Trump's best showing in a CNN/ORC Poll against Clinton since September 2015. Trump's new edge rests largely on increased support among independents, 43% of whom said that Trump's convention in Cleveland left them more likely to back him, while 41% were dissuaded. Pre-convention, independents split 34% Clinton to 31% Trump, with sizable numbers behind Johnson (22%) and Stein (10%). Now, 46% say they back Trump, 28% Clinton, 15% Johnson and 4% Stein.

Read more: http://www.kcci.com/politics/trump-bounces-into-the-lead/40867076

73 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Post removed Post removed Jul 2016 #1
Convention bounce - it's to be expected... Cooley Hurd Jul 2016 #2
After that nightmare convention? Android3.14 Jul 2016 #6
RIGHT? Cosmocat Jul 2016 #20
The corporate media has been doing nothing but talking about Wiki this and Wiki that instead Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #27
There seems to be more to it than that, unfortunately. JudyM Jul 2016 #48
Yeah, sure. But I will argue that a lot of Trump support is based in racism/sexism. I know people Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #50
nope rtracey Jul 2016 #64
Relax agingdem Jul 2016 #60
I expected him to be up by five. PeteSelman Jul 2016 #3
If this is true Trump got a +10% convention boune. That is pretty large RAFisher Jul 2016 #51
People love that dictatorial speech. PeteSelman Jul 2016 #53
and in 3 weeks Hillary will be up by 3... heresAthingdotcom Jul 2016 #54
538 says MFM008 Jul 2016 #4
tied isn't good enough Cobalt Violet Jul 2016 #5
I agree, but the Know Nothing Pollyannas are keeping us from addressing the threat Android3.14 Jul 2016 #8
No they don't FBaggins Jul 2016 #23
And especially since many American voters often don't have their brains engaged when they RKP5637 Jul 2016 #52
3 months the debates and the Democratic organization and Trump with none... heresAthingdotcom Jul 2016 #55
Democrats need to stop letting Republicans trick them into fighting each other Democat Jul 2016 #7
Post removed Post removed Jul 2016 #9
The DU rules are that everyone supports Clinton after the primary Democat Jul 2016 #12
Post removed Post removed Jul 2016 #14
Guess Proud Liberal Dem Jul 2016 #10
How is Johnson NOT hurting Trump? Surely those people would not be HRC supporters ordinarily. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #49
the terrorism issue is the most glaring of the issues ericson00 Jul 2016 #11
His base - Those who have a "second amendment solution" for their own shadows ck4829 Jul 2016 #13
Terrorism has nothing on leaving a couple hundred million to dangle after feeding them jtuck004 Jul 2016 #16
YEP! Cosmocat Jul 2016 #17
not just that, but I've argued ericson00 Jul 2016 #19
Absolutely agree nt independentpiney Jul 2016 #70
if you could, I could use a KNR on my thread ericson00 Jul 2016 #71
This won't last long. mwb970 Jul 2016 #15
Thanks helpisontheway Jul 2016 #18
Blech his convention was a success. geek tragedy Jul 2016 #21
Luckily, racists are not the majority in America anymore Democat Jul 2016 #24
We know this to NOT be true whether you can admit it or not. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #26
You think that the majority of Americans are racist? Democat Jul 2016 #28
Yes, I do. I've seen it here on Democratic Underground. I, and many other people of color. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #30
I definitely agree that racism exists, and is too widespread Democat Jul 2016 #36
The majority of white voters did not vote for Obama in 2008 and 2012. Also, the notion that the Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #37
Agreed bekkilyn Jul 2016 #44
And I'll had that as a black woman, I've seen how internalized racism has impacted black people Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #45
Racists are still a majority in this country. Trump knows this. geek tragedy Jul 2016 #35
Thank you because there are too many deniers here. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #38
people think because racism has become socially unacceptable to express in public geek tragedy Jul 2016 #39
The Bradley Effect is scaring the shit out of me and other people of color I know. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #40
Clinton is smart enough to know that anyone thinking about supporting Trump is either a racist geek tragedy Jul 2016 #41
This fear applies to women as well. I wonder what the impact will be for those who SAY they have Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #43
*cue loud farting sound* truthisfreedom Jul 2016 #22
CNN seems very happy to report this "news". They're not even trying to hide their bias. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #25
The Clinton team need to up their game because this is getting serious. Doodley Jul 2016 #29
Message auto-removed Name removed Jul 2016 #31
Yeah right. Darb Jul 2016 #32
I actually think you are correct. Hissyspit Jul 2016 #33
It's gonna be an ugly 3 months. Darb Jul 2016 #34
Polls tend to oversample white voters. The demographic polls make the numbers we see impossible. CrowCityDem Jul 2016 #42
People not making any money. Middle East still messed up. Civil instability between the law and folk hollowdweller Jul 2016 #46
And this is why the fascist Trump campaign must be taken seriously. Tatiana Jul 2016 #47
I think Demographics will still play a role heresAthingdotcom Jul 2016 #56
All the media wants to talk humbled_opinion Jul 2016 #57
We need a unified convention. Attorney in Texas Jul 2016 #58
Would be nice to have a unified DU Democat Jul 2016 #62
It's not all trolls. The leaked emails raise sincere misgivings for some Democrats with pure motives Attorney in Texas Jul 2016 #63
Isn't that within MOE? treestar Jul 2016 #59
Gravis, CNN, LA Times, and CBS all show Trump leading. That shit show last week got him a bump... RAFisher Jul 2016 #61
Umm…that's not what 538 is showing… regnaD kciN Jul 2016 #67
This isn't surprising to me TeddyR Jul 2016 #65
Hillary's 538 lead has also evaporated. bathroommonkey76 Jul 2016 #66
Yes. Trump Has a Very Good Chance of Winning the Presidency TomCADem Jul 2016 #69
are independents brain dead? What was it at the convention that would attract anyone that MariaThinks Jul 2016 #68
Stuff like this hollowdweller Jul 2016 #73
Incredibly sad for our nation locks Jul 2016 #72
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