Latest Breaking News

RAFisher

(466 posts)

61. Gravis, CNN, LA Times, and CBS all show Trump leading. That shit show last week got him a bump...

Mon Jul 25, 2016, 09:22 AM

Jul 2016

RCP now gives him the lead. FiveThirtyEight still barely favors Clinton but has the projected EV 270-268 favoring Trump.

Good news is that FiveThirtyEight's new Polls-plus model still favors Clinton. That model factors in the convention bump. Still not that great news nor has that poll been used in other elections.

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

73 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

New CNN Poll: Trump Bounces Into the Lead [View all] Hissyspit Jul 2016 OP

Post removed Post removed Jul 2016 #1

Convention bounce - it's to be expected... Cooley Hurd Jul 2016 #2

After that nightmare convention? Android3.14 Jul 2016 #6

RIGHT? Cosmocat Jul 2016 #20

The corporate media has been doing nothing but talking about Wiki this and Wiki that instead Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #27

There seems to be more to it than that, unfortunately. JudyM Jul 2016 #48

Yeah, sure. But I will argue that a lot of Trump support is based in racism/sexism. I know people Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #50

nope rtracey Jul 2016 #64

Relax agingdem Jul 2016 #60

I expected him to be up by five. PeteSelman Jul 2016 #3

If this is true Trump got a +10% convention boune. That is pretty large RAFisher Jul 2016 #51

People love that dictatorial speech. PeteSelman Jul 2016 #53

and in 3 weeks Hillary will be up by 3... heresAthingdotcom Jul 2016 #54

538 says MFM008 Jul 2016 #4

tied isn't good enough Cobalt Violet Jul 2016 #5

I agree, but the Know Nothing Pollyannas are keeping us from addressing the threat Android3.14 Jul 2016 #8

No they don't FBaggins Jul 2016 #23

And especially since many American voters often don't have their brains engaged when they RKP5637 Jul 2016 #52

3 months the debates and the Democratic organization and Trump with none... heresAthingdotcom Jul 2016 #55

Democrats need to stop letting Republicans trick them into fighting each other Democat Jul 2016 #7

Post removed Post removed Jul 2016 #9

The DU rules are that everyone supports Clinton after the primary Democat Jul 2016 #12

Post removed Post removed Jul 2016 #14

Guess Proud Liberal Dem Jul 2016 #10

How is Johnson NOT hurting Trump? Surely those people would not be HRC supporters ordinarily. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #49

the terrorism issue is the most glaring of the issues ericson00 Jul 2016 #11

His base - Those who have a "second amendment solution" for their own shadows ck4829 Jul 2016 #13

Terrorism has nothing on leaving a couple hundred million to dangle after feeding them jtuck004 Jul 2016 #16

YEP! Cosmocat Jul 2016 #17

not just that, but I've argued ericson00 Jul 2016 #19

Absolutely agree nt independentpiney Jul 2016 #70

if you could, I could use a KNR on my thread ericson00 Jul 2016 #71

This won't last long. mwb970 Jul 2016 #15

Thanks helpisontheway Jul 2016 #18

Blech his convention was a success. geek tragedy Jul 2016 #21

Luckily, racists are not the majority in America anymore Democat Jul 2016 #24

We know this to NOT be true whether you can admit it or not. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #26

You think that the majority of Americans are racist? Democat Jul 2016 #28

Yes, I do. I've seen it here on Democratic Underground. I, and many other people of color. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #30

I definitely agree that racism exists, and is too widespread Democat Jul 2016 #36

The majority of white voters did not vote for Obama in 2008 and 2012. Also, the notion that the Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #37

Agreed bekkilyn Jul 2016 #44

And I'll had that as a black woman, I've seen how internalized racism has impacted black people Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #45

Racists are still a majority in this country. Trump knows this. geek tragedy Jul 2016 #35

Thank you because there are too many deniers here. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #38

people think because racism has become socially unacceptable to express in public geek tragedy Jul 2016 #39

The Bradley Effect is scaring the shit out of me and other people of color I know. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #40

Clinton is smart enough to know that anyone thinking about supporting Trump is either a racist geek tragedy Jul 2016 #41

This fear applies to women as well. I wonder what the impact will be for those who SAY they have Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #43

*cue loud farting sound* truthisfreedom Jul 2016 #22

CNN seems very happy to report this "news". They're not even trying to hide their bias. Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2016 #25

The Clinton team need to up their game because this is getting serious. Doodley Jul 2016 #29

Message auto-removed Name removed Jul 2016 #31

Yeah right. Darb Jul 2016 #32

I actually think you are correct. Hissyspit Jul 2016 #33

It's gonna be an ugly 3 months. Darb Jul 2016 #34

Polls tend to oversample white voters. The demographic polls make the numbers we see impossible. CrowCityDem Jul 2016 #42

People not making any money. Middle East still messed up. Civil instability between the law and folk hollowdweller Jul 2016 #46

And this is why the fascist Trump campaign must be taken seriously. Tatiana Jul 2016 #47

I think Demographics will still play a role heresAthingdotcom Jul 2016 #56

All the media wants to talk humbled_opinion Jul 2016 #57

We need a unified convention. Attorney in Texas Jul 2016 #58

Would be nice to have a unified DU Democat Jul 2016 #62

It's not all trolls. The leaked emails raise sincere misgivings for some Democrats with pure motives Attorney in Texas Jul 2016 #63

Isn't that within MOE? treestar Jul 2016 #59

Gravis, CNN, LA Times, and CBS all show Trump leading. That shit show last week got him a bump... RAFisher Jul 2016 #61

Umm…that's not what 538 is showing… regnaD kciN Jul 2016 #67

This isn't surprising to me TeddyR Jul 2016 #65

Hillary's 538 lead has also evaporated. bathroommonkey76 Jul 2016 #66

Yes. Trump Has a Very Good Chance of Winning the Presidency TomCADem Jul 2016 #69

are independents brain dead? What was it at the convention that would attract anyone that MariaThinks Jul 2016 #68

Stuff like this hollowdweller Jul 2016 #73

Incredibly sad for our nation locks Jul 2016 #72