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In reply to the discussion: FiveThirtyEight election forecast shows Trump ahead [View all]uawchild
(2,208 posts)After that DUMPSTER FIRE of a convention, Trump now leads?
This can't be ignored, at least it should not be ignored -- Trump is a very real threat to win in November.
IT SHOULD NOT BE CLOSE AT ALL, let alone have Trump leading.
Who said IT'S THE ECONOMY, STUPID? Wasn't that Bill Clinton? THAT is very true in this election.
"Growth in white poverty fuels Trumps run: Largely ignoring the trend has consequences
The GOP overlooked the poverty that's spread to white suburbs those neglected Americans turned to Trump
by ROBERT HENNELLY
Growth in white poverty fuels Trump's run: Largely ignoring the trend has consequences

Donald Trump (Credit: Reuters/Jonathan Ernst)
There was Donald Trump standing on the platform center stage at the Quicken Loans Arena basking in the moment the highest paid minds in media and politics told us over and over he would never have. What accounts for his improbable rise and what does it say about where our nation is really headed?
Just how did our corporate news media miss the amassing of the millions of mostly angry white voters with their pitchforks and torches that helped Trump stage a hostile takeover of the GOP?
Could it be that the elites of both parties, and their media stenographers, ignored the plight of poor whites for so long that they missed the explosion in their numbers, even as they marched on the town square?
Certainly, people of such poor education and such low social circumstance could not impact the politics of a nation so wordily and wealthy as America. Perhaps, the oversight is understandable. After all, with no disposable income worth targeting, there was no reason to run any detailed analytics on poor whites, unless you were selling beer, guns and bibles.
The reality is that under the current Democratic occupant of the White House, and a Republican-controlled Congress, poverty has exploded and expanded from its traditional urban and rural concentrations into Americas white suburbs. This precipitous deterioration happened as beltway leaders of both parties put their partisan gamesmanship and personal enrichment ahead of attending to the increasing ranks of the nations poor and struggling working class of all colors.
In the early 1970s the country had well under 25 million poor people and by 2014, the more recent available data, it was approaching close to 48 million people. But the spike in the real numbers is only part of the story which could help to catapult Trump right into the White House.
According to the Brookings Institutes The Growth and Spread of Concentrated Poverty between 2008 and 2012 our urban poor population grew overall by 21 percent while in suburbs it more than doubled, growing by 105 percent. Almost every major metropolitan area in the country saw the number of suburban families living in high poverty and distressed neighborhoods go up.
Over the same period the percentage of white households, living in census tracts where at least 20 percent of the population is living below the poverty line, spiked from 30 percent to 37 percent. Concurrently the percentage of African-American and Latino households living in those depressed zip codes dropped by 4 percent. For foreign born families there was a 3 percent decline.
http://www.salon.com/2016/07/25/growth_in_white_poverty_fuels_trumps_run_largely_ignoring_the_trend_has_consequences/
This is why Trump's nativist populist demagoguery has traction, we ignore it at our own peril.