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DonViejo

(60,536 posts)
Wed Oct 26, 2016, 04:39 PM Oct 2016

Oversampling? Trump making same wrong claim about polls that conservatives used in 2012 [View all]

Source: MCCLATCHY WASHINGTON BUREAU

WASHINGTON — Donald Trump is making the same mistake as President Mitt Romney.

He insists that public polls showing him trailing Hillary Clinton are biased results because they "oversample" Democrats. But that's exactly the same argument that a lot of conservatives used in 2012, wrongly convincing themselves that Romney would win easily and waking up shocked to find they were wrong and the polls were right.

The problem is, they claim something about the way polls are conducted that simply isn't true. That isn't stopping Trump from railing against "oversampling."

"When the polls are even, when they leave them alone and do them properly, I'm leading," he said. "But you see these polls where they're polling Democrats. How's Trump doing? Oh, he's down. They're polling Democrats. The system is corrupt and it's rigged and it's broken."

Other conservatives were also solidly convinced in 2012 that pollsters' "oversampling" of Democrats was hiding the truth that Republican presidential nominee Romney was leading incumbent President Barack Obama — by a lot.

-snip-

Read more: http://www.rawstory.com/2016/10/oversampling-trump-making-same-wrong-claim-about-polls-that-conservatives-used-in-2012/

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