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getagrip_already

(17,802 posts)

39. remember, 90% of registered republins is only 20% of registered voters.....

Sun Mar 3, 2019, 11:44 AM

Mar 2019

Republicans only make up about 22% of the electorate. They have been hemorrhaging party affiliation for years. Dems only make up about 26%. The rest are indies (no party affiliation).

So while support of his party is important, it isn't the whole ball of wax. His real overall number is probably in the high 30's. But that is when you ask someone a question in a poll, not what they will think when/if they go to vote.

But with the EC, it takes on even less meaning. Ever CA voter could vote D and we wouldn't get one more EV than if 51% did. It comes down to a few thousand votes in each of a handful of states.

Don't sweat the percentages. Sweat the actual votes in the actual states.

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NBC News/WSJ poll: 2020 race will be uphill for Trump, but he has strong party loyalty [View all] DonViejo Mar 2019 OP

Party loyalty wasn't enough in 2016 and it won't be enough in 2020. no_hypocrisy Mar 2019 #1

Trump supporters still believe the shit the russian troll farms was shoveling... Dennis Donovan Mar 2019 #5

sure they can - at least in terms of getagrip_already Mar 2019 #24

2016 the elections were stolen . . . Iliyah Mar 2019 #2

Maybe, maybe not. It depends on how many red and purple states we can capture because of the way still_one Mar 2019 #3

I dont think Trump is ahead in any of the 3 states that won him the election. oldsoftie Mar 2019 #7

he wasn't ahead in 2016 either...... getagrip_already Mar 2019 #27

Once Bernie takes the White House and he leads the Democratic Party to take the Senate... InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #8

I am sure with Nina Turner, Hilllary supporters are just chomping at the bit to vote for him in the still_one Mar 2019 #18

Bernie has the support OF THE PEOPLE cuz he's FOR THE PEOPLE!! That's all Bernie needs. InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #21

You want to push your SPECIFIC CANDIDATE, do over in the primary forum where it is suppossed to be still_one Mar 2019 #23

Just responding to the comments HERE... you made similar comments, so I responded to you too. InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #25

My comment was made in response to you pushing the primary specific candidate stuff here still_one Mar 2019 #26

That's fine... have a good evening. Peace. InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #54

Same to you still_one Mar 2019 #58

well, he has the support of putin..... getagrip_already Mar 2019 #28

You mean he has the support of "some" of the people just like the other cstanleytech Mar 2019 #37

If he does not win the nomination treestar Mar 2019 #56

Well, he'll have to change the Constitution to accomplish that, not just take the Senate oldsoftie Mar 2019 #29

Begs the question, once again Perseus Mar 2019 #13

That would require a constitutional amendment. SansACause Mar 2019 #14

Actually, there's an easier way. WinstonSmith4740 Mar 2019 #17

I don't see any red states signing on to that still_one Mar 2019 #20

they don't have to..... getagrip_already Mar 2019 #33

Technically that is true, but if you look at those so-called swing states either have republican still_one Mar 2019 #36

I agree, but we can still use it.... getagrip_already Mar 2019 #41

Sure, absolutely still_one Mar 2019 #45

It MIGHT be unConstitutional though Polybius Mar 2019 #44

It don't think it is unconstitutional because it isn't an agreement between states marylandblue Mar 2019 #49

It would be guaranteed to go to the courts no matter what happens Polybius Mar 2019 #60

Yes, it will certainly be litigated, but it doesn't matter what you call it marylandblue Mar 2019 #62

What red states are losing residents to blue states? oldsoftie Mar 2019 #31

Mississippi for one. SansACause Mar 2019 #61

After looking it up, 2 red states lost pop, 3 blue states lost pop. "Purple" not included. oldsoftie Mar 2019 #65

because it requires a Constitutional Amendment, and the red states will not go for that still_one Mar 2019 #19

Don't worry, Bernie 's got this... InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #22

bernie is irrelevant..... getagrip_already Mar 2019 #35

Ouch! oldsoftie Mar 2019 #64

Party Loyalty May Be High rpannier Mar 2019 #4

I think that number is higher than we might think. oldsoftie Mar 2019 #9

Party loyalty doesnt win elections; Independent voters do. nt oldsoftie Mar 2019 #6

Precisely!! Why Bernie is going to decimate the Liar-in-Chief in 2020!! InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #11

45-55 are not the odds I want to see. Too close for comfort. marylandblue Mar 2019 #10

We won't make that mistake again!! InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #12

I said that same exact sentence after 4 year of bush Jr Ferrets are Cool Mar 2019 #32

I hear ya... have yet to see the implementation of any significant changes. InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #38

You are right to be concerned mary. The weighting of red states in the electoral college is still_one Mar 2019 #34

I really think the "strong party loyality" thing won't help him. WinstonSmith4740 Mar 2019 #15

Trump could be re-elected with same tactics as 2016. Lonestarblue Mar 2019 #16

And the ability to CHEAT Ferrets are Cool Mar 2019 #30

remember, 90% of registered republins is only 20% of registered voters..... getagrip_already Mar 2019 #39

So you're saying that 52% of registered voters are Independent? Polybius Mar 2019 #59

not necessarily independent... getagrip_already Mar 2019 #67

Being a SOCIALIST or over 75 are the LEAST DESIRABLE characteristic presidential candidate mr_liberal Mar 2019 #40

Damn right it is going to be uphill for him. Everyone I talk to now just shakes their head at ... SWBTATTReg Mar 2019 #42

All true, though his Russian numbers are up. InAbLuEsTaTe Mar 2019 #55

I pray that his despicable ass won't even be on the ticket. n/t BlueStater Mar 2019 #43

With investigations ramping up, there is a good chance IMO LibDemAlways Mar 2019 #53

Uphill? C_U_L8R Mar 2019 #46

WTF did he do between Jan and Feb for his approval to jump from 43% to 46%? ooky Mar 2019 #47

This Polling Took Place DallasNE Mar 2019 #50

I dont believe it. INdemo Mar 2019 #48

25% of Americans identify as Rs. 89% of Rs strongly support tRump. stopbush Mar 2019 #51

He just has to hope the 50% marlakay Mar 2019 #57

Yeah his party of Russian bots is very loyal indeed Blue Owl Mar 2019 #52

MSM ginning up that horserace durablend Mar 2019 #63

We've all remarked at the donnybots population..amazed Maxheader Mar 2019 #66