Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Latest Breaking News

Showing Original Post only (View all)

BumRushDaShow

(128,916 posts)
Fri Dec 6, 2019, 09:41 AM Dec 2019

Labor market remained strong in November as U.S. economy added 266,000 jobs [View all]

Source: Washington Post

The United States added 266,000 jobs in November as the jobless rate decreased to 3.5 percent, the latest snapshot of an economy that appears to have slowed but stabilized in recent months.

The data, released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, beat expectations. Analysts had forecast roughly 180,000 new jobs for the month. The 3.5 percent unemployment rate matches a 50-year low that the labor market had set in September.The tally was impacted by thousands of General Motors workers who returned to their jobs in late October after a lengthy strike.

The labor market has remained one of the brightest spots in the economy, and combined with the high stock market has contributed to high levels of consumer spending and a relatively rosy consumer sentiment.Many employers are still struggling to find qualified workers to fill jobs, but other companies have had to cut jobs because of a recent pullback in manufacturing demand.

The labor market’s health could have big implications for the 2020 elections. Concerns about a looming recession have waned, but the economy has still shown signs of cooling. Economists have warned the mounting toll of President Trump’s protracted trade war has strained global trade growth and slowed the creation of American jobs. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell has said Trump’s tariffs have wrought so much uncertainty that companies are delaying investments and slowing the economy.

Read more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2019/12/06/labor-market-remained-strong-november-us-economy-added-jobs-jobless-rate-fell-percent/



Full headline: Labor market remained strong in November as U.S. economy added 266,000 jobs and jobless rate fell to 3.5 percent

It's "that" Friday again and our DU economic analysts should be along today to give us the drill-down of this data!
70 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
They are just blatantly cooking the books now killaphill Dec 2019 #1
Note that later in the article is this -- BumRushDaShow Dec 2019 #2
The people who forecast 180k for the month knew about those 60k FBaggins Dec 2019 #4
I have found the "forecasters" have been off the past couple months BumRushDaShow Dec 2019 #8
September was revised up by 13,000 and Oct by 28,000 for a combined +41,000 revision progree Dec 2019 #12
Thank you!!!! BumRushDaShow Dec 2019 #14
You're welcome -- I snuck in an "edited to add" : averages for last 3 mos, YTD, and 2018 progree Dec 2019 #20
And thank you for the deeper dive BumRushDaShow Dec 2019 #26
I'll see if I can find people complaining of cooked up numbers in February (+56k jobs) and in May progree Dec 2019 #30
It's also seasonal hiring... Hugin Dec 2019 #16
They usually account for seasonal BumRushDaShow Dec 2019 #17
Frankly, I doubt any accounting emanating from the current administration's fat figures in the run.. Hugin Dec 2019 #22
And also SoCalNative Dec 2019 #38
I agree with the blatant fudging! Backseat Driver Dec 2019 #27
jobs everywhere here evertonfc Dec 2019 #3
Seasonal hiring for delivering packages bucolic_frolic Dec 2019 #5
The numbers are seasonally adjusted nt progree Dec 2019 #6
Nope. The figure is seasonally adjusted FBaggins Dec 2019 #7
Statistics can be tweaked to make them anything you want them to be bucolic_frolic Dec 2019 #11
I'll never forget that while I was in the Navy, I was instructed to do reports on the privitization Farmer-Rick Dec 2019 #24
Exactly. They cloak their preferences in verbage and numbers, but they tweak the assumptions bucolic_frolic Dec 2019 #47
Jobs that dont require a college degree, but DO require technical training. oldsoftie Dec 2019 #21
Seasonal adjustment explainer IronLionZion Dec 2019 #32
Yeah, that's it. In words, anyway. bucolic_frolic Dec 2019 #45
I trust ADP's numbers a bit more than BLS IronLionZion Dec 2019 #48
It's Good News for Trump ritapria Dec 2019 #9
Remember he promised 4% - 5% "growth" which we are nowhere near BumRushDaShow Dec 2019 #10
You are right ritapria Dec 2019 #18
I think that is the underlying concern BumRushDaShow Dec 2019 #19
The other thing - the jobs numbers generally lag the economy ... progree Dec 2019 #23
Yup! BumRushDaShow Dec 2019 #25
Great analogy. Those of us who live in Minnesota are really tuned into the seasonal lag progree Dec 2019 #28
Plus BumRushDaShow Dec 2019 #29
We're there right now (as progree noted). mahatmakanejeeves Dec 2019 #50
But wait BumRushDaShow Dec 2019 #57
Not even close rockfordfile Dec 2019 #31
Good morning. Links to earlier reports: mahatmakanejeeves Dec 2019 #13
Good morning and TGIF! BumRushDaShow Dec 2019 #15
Two days ago, this was the ADP report: 67,000 House of Roberts Dec 2019 #33
I know the two sets have differed often... maddogesq Dec 2019 #34
Yup. The Household Survey that came out today shows Employment up just 83,000 in November progree Dec 2019 #37
In February: BLS private jobs: +20,000 (and +25,000 overall), ADP: +183,000 private jobs progree Dec 2019 #35
Trump didn't believe these numbers when Obama was prez RussBLib Dec 2019 #36
And everyone here defended the numbers & said Trump was a moron for questioning them MichMan Dec 2019 #39
you're right RussBLib Dec 2019 #40
We called Trump a fucking moron and a lying asswipe when he just made up alternative numbers progree Dec 2019 #42
I remember that too BumRushDaShow Dec 2019 #65
Downward revisions: proves they're cooking the books. Upward revisions: yup, same thing progree Dec 2019 #69
.... BumRushDaShow Dec 2019 #70
Manufacturing has contracted for four months in a row Politicub Dec 2019 #41
+1 Hugin Dec 2019 #43
True. But manufacturing employment has shrunk over the decades to where it is only about 8.5% of progree Dec 2019 #44
That doesn't change the fact that manufacturing is experiencing a recession Politicub Dec 2019 #46
I don't disagree. I was just saying that there can progree Dec 2019 #49
Apples and oranges, but two days ago, ADP showed a loss of 18,000 in manufacturing. mahatmakanejeeves Dec 2019 #51
BLS: manufacturing up 54,000 in November, but as you say, apples and oranges progree Dec 2019 #53
Manufacturing employment is UP mathematic Dec 2019 #59
From the horse's mouth: mahatmakanejeeves Dec 2019 #52
When they are good, they are cooked numbers. When they are bad, they prove that progree Dec 2019 #55
You got it. mahatmakanejeeves Dec 2019 #56
Here's a change to the data collection that I suspect a lot of people missed: mahatmakanejeeves Dec 2019 #54
Don't let the RWingers see that! BumRushDaShow Dec 2019 #58
It's proof that the deep-staters are deliberately..... mahatmakanejeeves Dec 2019 #60
!!!!!!!!! BumRushDaShow Dec 2019 #64
Yes, it will prove to them (RWers) that libral bureaucrats in the BLS are cooking the numbers nt progree Dec 2019 #61
Yeppers! I do not believe their numbers anymore. Suspect the next 11 months, through November 1... machoneman Dec 2019 #62
Fact is at this point, jobs are not going to be the best selling point against trump. There's plenty Hoyt Dec 2019 #63
The mind-numbing rant, based on a version posted on the first Friday in September 2016: mahatmakanejeeves Dec 2019 #66
What about all the people retiring JonLP24 Dec 2019 #67
I think they are considered BumRushDaShow Dec 2019 #68
Latest Discussions»Latest Breaking News»Labor market remained str...