Tropical Storm Delta Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL262020
1100 AM EDT Mon Oct 05 2020
...DELTA STRENGTHENING OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...16.4N 78.6W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM S OF NEGRIL JAMAICA
ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMAN
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Cuba has issued a Hurricane Warning for the Cuban
province of Pinar del Rio. A Tropical Storm Warning was also been
issued for the Isle of Youth.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cuba province of Pinar del Rio
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Cuban province of Artemisa
* Isle of Youth
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cayman Islands including Little Cayman and Cayman Brac
* Isle of Youth
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Cuba province of La Habana
(snip)
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Delta was
located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 78.6 West. Delta is
moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a turn toward the
west-northwest is forecast later today. A faster northwestward
motion is expected on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast
track, the center of Delta is expected to move away from Jamaica
later today, move near or over the Cayman Islands early Tuesday,
and approach western Cuba Tuesday afternoon or evening. Delta is
forecast to move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday
night, and be over the south-central Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the
next few days, and Delta is expected to become a hurricane on
Tuesday before it nears western Cuba.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
(snip)
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