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In reply to the discussion: Omicron now accounts for 73% of new coronavirus cases in the US, according to the CDC [View all]progree
(13,036 posts)It looks like new deaths have peaked almost simultaneously with new cases for every peak in 2021 except for the current peak (new cases still going up) but new deaths have been going down since August 29 - Dec 9 and then plateauing -- the current Oct 15 - Dec 19++ new cases peak is not being reflected at all in increased deaths
NEW CASES PEAKS (in 2021): Jan 13, April 29, August 27, Dec 19 and still rising
NEW DEATHS PEAKS (in 2021): Jan 26, May 1, Aug 25.
Anyway, its strange that the first 3 peaks are almost simultaneous (I thought new deaths lagged new cases by 4-6 weeks), and then no deaths wave yet for the new wave 4th peak
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/world/covid-cases.html
Scroll down past the map and the table to the 2 graphs.
the left graph - New reported cases by day
with the right graph - New reported deaths by day.
The horizontal (dates) scales are the same.
I opened a 2nd window and put the new cases one above the new deaths one.
I also got some tracing paper and drew a rough version of new cases and put it against new deaths
I also toyed with the hypothesis that maybe the new cases peaks were 3 1/2 to 4 months ahead of the new deaths peaks, e.g. the new cases peak of Jan 13 caused the new deaths peak of May 1, and so on, but doubt that and causes other issues in explaining what's going on so hypothesis rejected.