Many very senior people in very blue states are stepping down,. Those districts will be won by Democrats. For both Democrats and Republicans, we need to know how many are stepping down in purple districts or where it is only their personal appeal that let's them win in a district that really has a majority of the other party.
In addition, because of the census, most states are redistricting. The very early take was that this would be a disaster for us. The more recent take is it will be closer to a wash. Here, efforts to fight gerrymandering which have succeeded in some places have helped. In addition, the Republicans have done this for decades in many states and there was little more to gain.
At this point, Democrats are doing the important job of recruiting and supporting good candidates. Some of the issues that plaque us now will probably improve a lot. I think gas prices are already down. Inflation is just one metric of the economy. Economic growth, higher wages and lower unemployment are all to the good ... and to some degree, are consistent with higher inflation. At this point, I suspect that it may be the constant drumbeat on inflation that makes people respond as they do.
I hope that we are lucky and the covid numbers reach the low levels of June 2021 and that we are better prepared as the cooler fall weather approaches. I may be wrong, but I suspect that the unhappiness of many is that after staying safe until completely vaccinated, later getting boosters, we still hear of people close to us testing positive. My guess is that we all hoped we would be passed this. Even in highly vaccinated states, it is scary that the hospitals are again reaching their capacity. It does not really help to point out the hospitalization rate is FAR higher for the unvaccinated. It is still impacting our lives.
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