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Fiendish Thingy

(22,891 posts)
16. Biden was the only candidate who improved after IA/NH, and largely due to Clyburn/SC primary
Fri May 6, 2022, 06:39 PM
May 2022

Many candidates dropped out before the first primary.

Candidates spend a lot of money before the first vote is cast, and then two states who will have no impact on the outcome in the general vote, and those results, along with the media narrative, make it very difficult to raise money and stay in the race if you didn’t win one or both of those meaningless states.

Biden was only able to survive because he had a big war chest and entered the race later than most if not all the other candidates, (didn’t he miss the first couple debates because he hadn’t declared yet?) so spent less of his funds before the first votes were cast. That’s another reason to not only change which state goes first, but to move the first primary later in the calendar, say to March. That would be better for everyone except the campaign consultants.

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My vote would go to Illinois or one of the Rust Belt states. Nt Fiendish Thingy May 2022 #1
Chicago is a very expensive media market brooklynite May 2022 #2
I was just thinking about demographics- so MI, MN, WI then. Fiendish Thingy May 2022 #3
What inevitability narrative was there in 2020? brooklynite May 2022 #4
Not as strong as in the past, more of an "electability" narrative Fiendish Thingy May 2022 #5
Still waiting to hear what the "narrative" was that you think was occurring. brooklynite May 2022 #6
The first states have greater influence 867-5309. May 2022 #11
Name a candidate who faltered after IA/NH... brooklynite May 2022 #14
Biden was the only candidate who improved after IA/NH, and largely due to Clyburn/SC primary Fiendish Thingy May 2022 #16
I am sorry the current primary schedule is outdated and needs to go. How many elections were Demsrule86 May 2022 #19
Answer your own question... brooklynite May 2022 #21
It is rhetorical...Since Iowa has decided in all but two of the modern elections -Joe Biden Demsrule86 May 2022 #22
Hillary did win the Iowa Caucus and every candidate on that list lost the General. Demsrule86 May 2022 #25
"the elections you posted do not...make your case" brooklynite May 2022 #26
Well that was an exception wasn't it? The only other time was with Bill Clinton...so Demsrule86 May 2022 #18
Joe Biden ran the primary with very Little money. He could not even advertise in Super Demsrule86 May 2022 #24
Not much Iowa can do about diversity, but it would have a better chance, I think question everything May 2022 #7
That's the one thing it CAN'T do. brooklynite May 2022 #8
In that case they will lose either way since the party is set - it is, right? question everything May 2022 #12
THEY will lose nothing... brooklynite May 2022 #13
Then they need to go at the end. Sorry. Demsrule86 May 2022 #20
It is unfortunate...but there it is. Kick out the GOP and change it. Demsrule86 May 2022 #23
Message auto-removed Name removed May 2022 #9
Kudos for FINALLY bucking the Iowa / New Hampshire nonsense 867-5309. May 2022 #10
I like this latest breaking news... slightlv May 2022 #15
There was a time I would have called such talk alarmist. Ligyron May 2022 #17
Me, too... slightlv May 2022 #27
Latest Discussions»Latest Breaking News»States line up for fight ...»Reply #16