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Xolodno

(7,357 posts)
21. Apparently Ukraine and Russia were close to a ceasefire at the beginning of the war.
Thu Jul 6, 2023, 10:17 PM
Jul 2023

Forgot where I read it.

Putin saw his gambit to take Kiev wasn't going to work and would have to be in a long drawn out slugfest. And Zelensky wasn't too keen on a long war either.

Obviously the main issue was NATO, Ukraine would stop the rhetoric of joining and looking for ways to join (Zelensky had suggested having a referendum on the occupied areas to cede them and then apply for NATO). Later, discuss a treaty ending any attempt to join NATO.

Russia, would allow them to pursue and join the EU. Apparently they never had an objection to this.

Next, was the number of western arms flowing into the country. And giving the Donbass area a lot of autonomy. Crimea would be discussed at a later summit.

Then Boris Johnson showed up in Kiev and convinced the Ukranian government (promising lots of arms, money, etc.) to stop any negotiations. He believed Putin would give in and just declare victory and walk away.

It's obvious he is ready to go the distance and is so far into it, he can't stop. Worse, both sides have upped their demands. Zelensky wants everything back and Putin will continue to consolidate his gains and fight as long as NATO is still on the table.

Back channel diplomacy seems like the only option as everyone has publicly used hard rhetoric. Plus if it falls apart, its deniable.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

When I hear of American "Russia experts" negotiating Ukraine's fate, I get very concerned. Beastly Boy Jul 2023 #1
Yes, any "talks" should in some way involve the people being attacked. oldsoftie Jul 2023 #3
Spot On!!!! +1000 blue-wave Jul 2023 #4
Yep! sybylla Jul 2023 #9
Putin DENVERPOPS Jul 2023 #17
With Ukraine's Permission? Me. Jul 2023 #2
A thousand times no! EndlessWire Jul 2023 #5
Fuck this, I have zero trust in members of the Council on foreign relations, gab13by13 Jul 2023 #6
Were any Ukrainians involved in the discussions? Botany Jul 2023 #7
No, Ukraine does not appear to have been involved. SunSeeker Jul 2023 #11
Why no mention of russian war crimes??? The Jungle 1 Jul 2023 #8
Fuck that. 50 Shades Of Blue Jul 2023 #10
I have no problem with them maintaining an open channel of communications with Moscow, but... SunSeeker Jul 2023 #12
Probably work as well as tfg negotiating directly with the taliban... getagrip_already Jul 2023 #13
Former senior US officials..key being former. You don't hear Sec Blinken or Gen Miley talking PortTack Jul 2023 #14
trump's old buddy, Lavrov, is involved Bayard Jul 2023 #15
Richard Haass stepped down in June? LiberalFighter Jul 2023 #16
This is good news hueymahl Jul 2023 #18
Ukraine should not accept "negotiations" Chrysanthemum Jul 2023 #19
How many lives are enough hueymahl Jul 2023 #20
Uh... the Ukrainians are a Free People, Free Country. THEY care, and want their land back. electric_blue68 Jul 2023 #22
Apparently Ukraine and Russia were close to a ceasefire at the beginning of the war. Xolodno Jul 2023 #21
I've seen the same thing reported hueymahl Jul 2023 #23
What if I told you energy could also be involved? Xolodno Jul 2023 #24
Follow the money hueymahl Jul 2023 #26
Logan Act violation? Kennah Jul 2023 #25
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