Donald Trump's Chances of Winning Election Are Declining [View all]
Source: Newsweek
Updated Jul 17, 2024 at 3:17 PM EDT
Donald Trump's chances of winning the November 2024 presidential election are declining, according to a new aggregation of polls.
FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker, which was originally published on July 8 and updated on July 16, shows Joe Biden with a 53 percent chance of winning the election, while Trump has a 46 percent chance.
According to the tracker, Biden is favored to win in 534 out of 1,000 of FiveThirtyEight's simulations of how the election could go, while Trump wins in 462. The poll also shows that the simulations indicate that Biden is on track for a three-point win.
(snip)
It comes after a Presidential Voting Intention poll of 3,601 swing state voters by Redfield & Wilton Strategies, found that Trump's margins over President Joe Biden have narrowed since June in two key swing states: Florida and North Carolina.
Read more: https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-polling-data-five-thirty-eight-1926226
"simulations indicate that Biden is on track for a three-point win."
= new reply since forum marked as read