Florida

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)

12. There are numbers on election day turnout by party

Reply to obamanut2012 (Reply #8)

Tue Nov 6, 2018, 05:25 PM

Nov 2018

Steve Schale blogged last night it could be between 150,000 and 200,000 GOP advantage on election day, but he thought 200,000 was unlikely and preferred the lower number.

Today I am seeing GOP loyalists crunching numbers and asserting it will go beyond 200,000.

If that's the case then we are going to need a severe edge among independents.

I still have some confidence. Normally the party with the national tilt wins the vast majority of razor tight races.

I just wish pollsters wouldn't insult intelligence with lopsided polling in Florida statewide races.

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Any update on Florida at 2PM? [View all] Sancho Nov 2018 OP

I am a little worried Carl45 Nov 2018 #1

Wrong obamanut2012 Nov 2018 #7

No word down here in So Fla mitch96 Nov 2018 #2

Steve Schale thinks it looks very bad in Florida due to GOP turnout Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #3

No!! He predicts if we finish at +2 GOP lead Dems should be in good shape. OrlandoDem2 Nov 2018 #4

Independents are going to have to bail us out Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #6

Here is Schale's blog post describing what you said Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #10

Where are they getting these numbers from? Sunsky Nov 2018 #5

I am in SOFL -- there literally are no numbers yet obamanut2012 Nov 2018 #11

I'm in northern Broward Sunsky Nov 2018 #13

That si not what he is saying obamanut2012 Nov 2018 #9

The polls do not close for hours obamanut2012 Nov 2018 #8

There are numbers on election day turnout by party Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #12

There will be a greater number of GOP crossover votes to Dem - at least for Governor. OrlandoDem2 Nov 2018 #14

I'd be sick at a split decision Awsi Dooger Nov 2018 #15