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United Kingdom
In reply to the discussion: This message was self-deleted by its author [View all]muriel_volestrangler
(101,316 posts)6. Realistically, May is highly likely to get re-elected
The Tories are 20% ahead in opinion polls; Labour did badly in the 2 recent by-elections. The Lib Dems may re-take some of the seats they lost in 2015 - with Brexit mattering more now to Lib Dem voters (or potential voters) than the broken tuition fees promise or their general coalition record - but not enough to get rid of the Tory majority, I think - and they'd probably need to make up for more lost Labour seats in addition.
Current betting is for a Tory majority government at 1/5 on - which, taking into account the bookies' profits, means they think it's about a 75-80% chance of that.
https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/next-government
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But isn't that due, as much as anything else, to the fact that the PLP never let up on Corbyn?
Ken Burch
Apr 2017
#9
I am as concerned as you are about the imminent Tory landslide-which can still be prevented.
Ken Burch
Apr 2017
#25
OK, in your view, what would it mean for Momentum to "engage with the outside world"?
Ken Burch
Apr 2017
#42
If Labour had vetoed the election, wouldn't that have caused massive blowback against them?
Ken Burch
Apr 2017
#37