AP: Sanders lowers expectations in Iowa

[Treant]

4. But Iowa IS a must win

Sanders' strengths will be the Northeast and caucus states--and he needs pretty much every delegate to overcome Clinton's native advantages in most primary states and states that aren't very white.

A weak showing in Iowa starts to negate any advantage he might have in caucus states--he might motivate, but he can't get them out to vote. And that does not bode well for a potential win, or even a decent showing.

Lose IA and I'm convinced this is over by Super Tuesday. Win IA by too small an amount and it's over slightly after that. Sanders needs to kick ass in IA...and that isn't going to happen.