Enthusiasm gap? Youth gap?

[question everything]

5. And enthusiams does not translate to delegates

From a WSJ story:

While winning loyal backers, the senator faces real hurdles. For one, his support in Iowa is concentrated in college towns, and a dominant showing in any given precinct or county doesn’t translate into additional delegates. The most recent Des Moines Register-Bloomberg Politics poll found Mr. Sanders just two points behind Mrs. Clinton statewide, but 27% of his backers came from just three counties that are home to Iowa’s big universities. Those counties will account for just 14% of delegates awarded.

and

The campaign also must persuade people to attend caucuses who have never gone before. The Register poll found Mr. Sanders was strongest with younger voters, political independents and people who have never caucused before—three groups that are least likely to turn out. The Sanders campaign is working to train volunteers so they can explain the process to newcomers.

After Iowa comes New Hampshire, where polls show Mr. Sanders, from a neighboring state, is ahead. Then comes a swath of states where Mrs. Clinton has the edge.

Presidential historian Douglas Brinkley said he suspects Mr. Sanders won’t have the staying power of Mr. Obama, chiefly because of his poor standing among minority voters in later states. Mr. Sanders comes from a state that is overwhelmingly white and came to the race with few ties to black voters.

http://www.wsj.com/articles/for-bernie-sanders-iowa-caucus-holds-the-key-1453770578