Popular Vote Targets & Sanders Path to Victory [View all]
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/03/29/1507694/-Popular-Vote-Targets-Sanders-Path-to-Victory
If he can beat all of these popular vote percentage targets to make up 25 pledged delegates somewhere, he can win the pledged count and the nomination. Each time he gets less than this, especially in larger states, he falls behind. Considering how high these requirements are, including him winning New York and California and getting razor thin margins in MD and NJ, Bernie Sanders chances of winning the delegate count are about as likely as Hillary Clinton getting hit by a bus on the way to the convention, which is probably the only way he could become the democratic
nominee.
Amazingly, despite this nearly impossible run by Bernie Sanders that would require him to make massive inroads with every single demographic group, including 3 or 4x the margin with non-white voters that has been getting thus far, Hillary Clinton would still win by 25 pledged delegates.
So in summary: what is Bernies roadmap forward? He must get above the following percentages in these states going forward:
Wisconsin: 60
Wyoming: 80
New York: 52
Connecticut: 55
Delaware: 55
Maryland: 47
Pennsylvania: 55
Rhode Island: 60
Indiana: 65
Guam: 50
West Virginia: 65
Kentucky: 60
Oregon: 65
Virgin Islands: 50
Puerto Rico: 50
California: 55
Montana: 80
New Jersey: 47
New Mexico: 60
North Dakota: 80
South Dakota: 70
DC: 50
He wont ........math