Hillary Clinton

CajunBlazer

(5,648 posts)

23. I doubt it will be as bad as 55-45, but that will not be enough in Wisconsin

Tue Apr 5, 2016, 07:11 PM

Apr 2016

Sanders needs to win at least 57 - 43 just to not fall behind the over 13% rate he needs to win by in each of the remaining 22 nomination contests.

The truth of the matter the polls show that he has a decent chance to win in only Wisconsin and West Virginia and while it has no polls yet perhaps Wyoming. He dang sure isn't going to win by 13 at least 13% in New York, Pennsylvania and Maryland (all big delegate states) so he has to do exceedingly well in states like Wisconsin to make up for falling behind the pace in later states.

My prediction is that there is no way he will win by more than 13% (like 57 - 43) in Wisconsin and even if he does it won't matter in two weeks. I betting that it will be pretty close in the cheese head state.

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Wisconsin exit polls--looking like a double-digit loss that will be called early [View all] geek tragedy Apr 2016 OP

Polls don't close for another 2.5 hours, and all of that is based on early-day exit polls. CalvinballPro Apr 2016 #1

all polls are. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #3

54% want President Obama's policies to continue -only 31% want more liberal Rose Siding Apr 2016 #2

That's similar to the Michigan number I think. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #12

I doubt if I'll be back here until a few days before the NYS primary... Walk away Apr 2016 #4

The "real world". What is this magical place of which you speak? Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #7

That would be my telephone while I make phone calls for Hillary! Walk away Apr 2016 #48

Agree that those poll results look bad but..... GusBob Apr 2016 #5

If that is true, then the pollsters have yet to figure out open primaries. Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #6

27% call themselves moderates vdogg Apr 2016 #8

that Bernie interview will plague him in NY for sure, too late to have an effect in WI nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #14

I doubt it will be as bad as 55-45, but that will not be enough in Wisconsin CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #23

Well it is what it is ismnotwasm Apr 2016 #9

Mid-Atlantic region will be very good for us nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #15

Different organizations have different exit polls going. NuclearDem Apr 2016 #10

I will be out of here. Dawson Leery Apr 2016 #11

weird number from MSNBC--79% prefer establishment to outsider? geek tragedy Apr 2016 #13

Interesting KewlKat Apr 2016 #17

All primary voters or just Dems? Kber Apr 2016 #18

Dems. Republicans split 50/50 nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #20

That is an interesting number... Satch59 Apr 2016 #24

Bernie has been there for a quarter-century. nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #25

Yes but an independent and dem socialist... Satch59 Apr 2016 #32

I don't understand how you are drawing your conclusions of a 12% beat down CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #16

put the wrong link in--corrected. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #19

I still don't understand how you are drawing your conclusions base on what I am reading. CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #31

2/3 think Sanders has the right policies and 90% think he's telling the truth. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #37

Could that many people KewlKat Apr 2016 #41

Wisconsin Democrats are really, really liberal and idealistic. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #42

Well, I lived in WI for nearly 10 yrs KewlKat Apr 2016 #43

I find that in the South where we are overrun by rethugs... CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #45

Dane county is pretty much Berkeley with cheese geek tragedy Apr 2016 #51

maybe it's the cold weather up there dlwickham Apr 2016 #79

EXIT POLL: More Wisc. Dem primary voters think Clinton can beat Trump in Nov. than Sanders. Rose Siding Apr 2016 #21

that's just about every state though, isn't it? geek tragedy Apr 2016 #22

Seems like that might rate more highly later in primary Rose Siding Apr 2016 #26

take exit polling with a big grain of salt FloridaBlues Apr 2016 #28

Exit polls don't talk to early voters MattP Apr 2016 #27

that's a very good point. About 10% early/absentee voters, right? nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #29

Exit polls don't have early voting info. cosmicone Apr 2016 #30

Would someone please start a WI Primary Thread? KewlKat Apr 2016 #33

Great analysis, but if... SaschaHM Apr 2016 #34

This site already shows Hill with 5 delegates KewlKat Apr 2016 #35

Is Martin O'Mally still on the WI ballot? KewlKat Apr 2016 #36

no idea--he probably doesn't know either nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #38

wisconsinvote.org shows KewlKat Apr 2016 #39

does he have family there? nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #40

Dem Exit Poll KewlKat Apr 2016 #44

63% over 45, 37% under 45 geek tragedy Apr 2016 #46

Bad bummer for Bernie CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #47

As long as it's close NastyRiffraff Apr 2016 #49

If it's single digits, meh. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #50

Forgive me but LOL fleabiscuit Apr 2016 #59

Exit polls look like trash right now. metroins Apr 2016 #52

I know, I wrote an OP talking about how exit polls are unreliable so maybe physician heal myself nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #53

I agree with you that we might want to stay out of GDP metroins Apr 2016 #54

probably a good idea to start loading up the Ignore list. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #55

I should follow your lead metroins Apr 2016 #56

there are about 10 who aren't on my list nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #57

What does that list cost? Could save me lots of time. fleabiscuit Apr 2016 #63

Would those be the atypical ones or the egregious ones? OilemFirchen Apr 2016 #64

the ten who aren't batshit crazy or possible wingnut impostors nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #66

I'm guessing, then... OilemFirchen Apr 2016 #67

on my iggy list. double-checked to make sure. :) nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #68

Because of the way they proportion delegates in Wisc GusBob Apr 2016 #58

I just watched John King on CNN metroins Apr 2016 #60

maybe. what did Obama net there in 2008? Wasn't it like 10 delegates geek tragedy Apr 2016 #61

MSNBC has different exit polls, and from them it looks like it will be very close. We'll know... George II Apr 2016 #62

I thought they all used the same exit polls? geek tragedy Apr 2016 #65

Yet by a 54-31 margin they want Obama's policies continued rather than more liberal policies book_worm Apr 2016 #69

77% say HRC policies "realistic" while only 64% say so of Bernie's book_worm Apr 2016 #70

I can't believe 64% say his are realistic. I mean, come on! nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #71

They are in love with the bern KewlKat Apr 2016 #72

Chuck Todd's exit has 63% over 45 yrs old Rose Siding Apr 2016 #75

I don't think Hillary will win Wisconsin or anything MSMITH33156 Apr 2016 #73

Anything under 20% margin is ok with me nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #74

Bernie has an early lead per networks--but they aren't yet calling WI. book_worm Apr 2016 #76

Fox News called it for Sanders. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #77

Fox just called WI for Bernie!! Kilgore Apr 2016 #78