Hillary Clinton

SaschaHM

(2,897 posts)

34. Great analysis, but if...

Tue Apr 5, 2016, 07:40 PM

Apr 2016

Bernie supporters, his campaign, and even the candidate can be in such denial about the math as it stands currently and in regards to the upcoming NE states, I can still hold out hope that it could be super close and under 6%.

Thankfully, regardless of what happens, Trump, Ted Cruz, and #nevertrump will dominate the news coverage unless something drastic happens tonight on the democratic side.

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Wisconsin exit polls--looking like a double-digit loss that will be called early [View all] geek tragedy Apr 2016 OP

Polls don't close for another 2.5 hours, and all of that is based on early-day exit polls. CalvinballPro Apr 2016 #1

all polls are. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #3

54% want President Obama's policies to continue -only 31% want more liberal Rose Siding Apr 2016 #2

That's similar to the Michigan number I think. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #12

I doubt if I'll be back here until a few days before the NYS primary... Walk away Apr 2016 #4

The "real world". What is this magical place of which you speak? Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #7

That would be my telephone while I make phone calls for Hillary! Walk away Apr 2016 #48

Agree that those poll results look bad but..... GusBob Apr 2016 #5

If that is true, then the pollsters have yet to figure out open primaries. Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #6

27% call themselves moderates vdogg Apr 2016 #8

that Bernie interview will plague him in NY for sure, too late to have an effect in WI nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #14

I doubt it will be as bad as 55-45, but that will not be enough in Wisconsin CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #23

Well it is what it is ismnotwasm Apr 2016 #9

Mid-Atlantic region will be very good for us nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #15

Different organizations have different exit polls going. NuclearDem Apr 2016 #10

I will be out of here. Dawson Leery Apr 2016 #11

weird number from MSNBC--79% prefer establishment to outsider? geek tragedy Apr 2016 #13

Interesting KewlKat Apr 2016 #17

All primary voters or just Dems? Kber Apr 2016 #18

Dems. Republicans split 50/50 nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #20

That is an interesting number... Satch59 Apr 2016 #24

Bernie has been there for a quarter-century. nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #25

Yes but an independent and dem socialist... Satch59 Apr 2016 #32

I don't understand how you are drawing your conclusions of a 12% beat down CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #16

put the wrong link in--corrected. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #19

I still don't understand how you are drawing your conclusions base on what I am reading. CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #31

2/3 think Sanders has the right policies and 90% think he's telling the truth. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #37

Could that many people KewlKat Apr 2016 #41

Wisconsin Democrats are really, really liberal and idealistic. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #42

Well, I lived in WI for nearly 10 yrs KewlKat Apr 2016 #43

I find that in the South where we are overrun by rethugs... CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #45

Dane county is pretty much Berkeley with cheese geek tragedy Apr 2016 #51

maybe it's the cold weather up there dlwickham Apr 2016 #79

EXIT POLL: More Wisc. Dem primary voters think Clinton can beat Trump in Nov. than Sanders. Rose Siding Apr 2016 #21

that's just about every state though, isn't it? geek tragedy Apr 2016 #22

Seems like that might rate more highly later in primary Rose Siding Apr 2016 #26

take exit polling with a big grain of salt FloridaBlues Apr 2016 #28

Exit polls don't talk to early voters MattP Apr 2016 #27

that's a very good point. About 10% early/absentee voters, right? nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #29

Exit polls don't have early voting info. cosmicone Apr 2016 #30

Would someone please start a WI Primary Thread? KewlKat Apr 2016 #33

Great analysis, but if... SaschaHM Apr 2016 #34

This site already shows Hill with 5 delegates KewlKat Apr 2016 #35

Is Martin O'Mally still on the WI ballot? KewlKat Apr 2016 #36

no idea--he probably doesn't know either nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #38

wisconsinvote.org shows KewlKat Apr 2016 #39

does he have family there? nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #40

Dem Exit Poll KewlKat Apr 2016 #44

63% over 45, 37% under 45 geek tragedy Apr 2016 #46

Bad bummer for Bernie CajunBlazer Apr 2016 #47

As long as it's close NastyRiffraff Apr 2016 #49

If it's single digits, meh. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #50

Forgive me but LOL fleabiscuit Apr 2016 #59

Exit polls look like trash right now. metroins Apr 2016 #52

I know, I wrote an OP talking about how exit polls are unreliable so maybe physician heal myself nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #53

I agree with you that we might want to stay out of GDP metroins Apr 2016 #54

probably a good idea to start loading up the Ignore list. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #55

I should follow your lead metroins Apr 2016 #56

there are about 10 who aren't on my list nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #57

What does that list cost? Could save me lots of time. fleabiscuit Apr 2016 #63

Would those be the atypical ones or the egregious ones? OilemFirchen Apr 2016 #64

the ten who aren't batshit crazy or possible wingnut impostors nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #66

I'm guessing, then... OilemFirchen Apr 2016 #67

on my iggy list. double-checked to make sure. :) nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #68

Because of the way they proportion delegates in Wisc GusBob Apr 2016 #58

I just watched John King on CNN metroins Apr 2016 #60

maybe. what did Obama net there in 2008? Wasn't it like 10 delegates geek tragedy Apr 2016 #61

MSNBC has different exit polls, and from them it looks like it will be very close. We'll know... George II Apr 2016 #62

I thought they all used the same exit polls? geek tragedy Apr 2016 #65

Yet by a 54-31 margin they want Obama's policies continued rather than more liberal policies book_worm Apr 2016 #69

77% say HRC policies "realistic" while only 64% say so of Bernie's book_worm Apr 2016 #70

I can't believe 64% say his are realistic. I mean, come on! nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #71

They are in love with the bern KewlKat Apr 2016 #72

Chuck Todd's exit has 63% over 45 yrs old Rose Siding Apr 2016 #75

I don't think Hillary will win Wisconsin or anything MSMITH33156 Apr 2016 #73

Anything under 20% margin is ok with me nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #74

Bernie has an early lead per networks--but they aren't yet calling WI. book_worm Apr 2016 #76

Fox News called it for Sanders. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #77

Fox just called WI for Bernie!! Kilgore Apr 2016 #78