Clinton Leads Sanders 56%-38% in New York [View all]

[MrWendel]

http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/4/8/1512669/-Clinton-Leads-Sanders-56-38-in-New-York

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Start spreading the news...the end of the Democratic primary is near.

Clinton leads Sanders 56%-38% in New York, according to a new Emerson College poll. Don't worry about this opening line, however, as their last poll was clearly an outlier. This margin is about what we’d expect when looking at all the polls.

Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders has gained significant ground on Hillary Clinton in the upcoming New York primary, shaving off 30 points from the massive lead Clinton held in New York just three weeks ago. He now trails the former Secretary of State by 18 points (56% to 38%). In a March 17 ECPS poll, conducted in the days following Clinton’s decisive performance on Super Tuesday II, she was winning by 48 points (71% to 23%) among Democratic primary voters in New York.

Just to be crystal clear: Bernie did not gain thirty points in three weeks. This is the only poll showing such a wild, absurd swing. A 48-point win would be fantastic, of course, but an 18-point margin would be just as deadly to Bernie's remaining nomination chances.

Furthermore, there's some data in here that suggests Clinton's solid lead isn't going anywhere.

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