2016 Postmortem

Attorney in Texas

(3,373 posts)

83. 1st, you misstate Clinton's numbers (it's Sanders 47.4%, Clinton 44.2%). 2nd, that's an aggregate.

Tue Feb 23, 2016, 03:19 PM

Feb 2016

Polls generally come with a published margin of error. Aggregates generally do not.

PS - The betting markets have Sanders as a 2-to-1 favorite in Massachusetts so you may want to refinance your house and buy up Clinton futures on the betting market while they are still low.

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The list grows! Sanders leads Alaska, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, West Virginia, Vermont, and is [View all] Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 OP

Thanks! cali Feb 2016 #1

Sounds like Tuesday will be Super for real Democrats! eom Betty Karlson Feb 2016 #2

Clinton will perform well in the Confederacy red states and Arkansas-bordering states (except she Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #6

This is lost on some artislife Feb 2016 #7

But He'll Need Money To Continue To Fund His Effort...... global1 Feb 2016 #9

Measured donations demwing Feb 2016 #10

+1 and hopfully beyond n/t ejbr Feb 2016 #16

+1 Go Vols Feb 2016 #103

+1 daleanime Feb 2016 #13

No worries, I will. Duval Feb 2016 #17

I do Jenny_92808 Feb 2016 #129

yes we know what you think of the states where blacks dominate our party dsc Feb 2016 #37

It's not racial; it's cultural. DC has over 50% African American voters but it's not Republican. Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #62

I'm glad you backed this up beltanefauve Feb 2016 #68

and when she wins those states I am sure you will find a way to denegrate them to dsc Feb 2016 #95

The way you switched from mind reading to SwampG8r Feb 2016 #100

Too bad no more DUzys. I would have voted for that one! Elmer S. E. Dump Feb 2016 #104

Such an excellent post. nt ALBliberal Feb 2016 #111

It's sad that you know more about jumping to that conclusion than... MrMickeysMom Feb 2016 #131

Darn right! There's tremendous energy & we have a Long way to go! appalachiablue Feb 2016 #45

I love how you put it "confederacy red states" book_worm Feb 2016 #49

The Deep South states of the old confederacy are going to vote Republican in the GE. HooptieWagon Feb 2016 #88

Central illinois timmymoff Feb 2016 #105

Not all AA's vote. Not all AA's are Democrats. I know AA's that support Carson. YOHABLO Feb 2016 #117

...and which of those will Hillary win in the GE? You know, the election that counts. bvar22 Feb 2016 #107

That is an interesting angle nadinbrzezinski Feb 2016 #113

Only in states with AA populations are equal to or higher than 15% of total population hoosierlib Feb 2016 #58

Race is not the factor. New York is about 1/5th African American, and it should be a close primary, Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #96

Excellent framing of your reply. Thank you! ALBliberal Feb 2016 #112

Bernie has been gaining on every demographic. Nyan Feb 2016 #132

Agreed...he just doedn't have enough time to a difference in those states... hoosierlib Feb 2016 #136

Great news! n/t dragonfly301 Feb 2016 #3

Kickin' with gusto! Faux pas Feb 2016 #4

Excellent! amborin Feb 2016 #5

Keep donating and fighting! PonyUp Feb 2016 #8

that's deadly EdwardBernays Feb 2016 #29

Only place I have seen this is here: PonyUp Feb 2016 #39

I may EdwardBernays Feb 2016 #50

Let me know if you do! cui bono Feb 2016 #134

You're missing one CH. Elmer S. E. Dump Feb 2016 #106

W00T!!!! MissDeeds Feb 2016 #11

kick kgnu_fan Feb 2016 #12

Unfortunately only 5 of those primaries will occur on or before Super Tuesday 3/1 Fla Dem Feb 2016 #14

How many of these states (outside of MA) have been sadoldgirl Feb 2016 #21

And?? dana_b Feb 2016 #25

if you believe your own nonsense about Clinton winning Colorado, you can win a fortune in the Vote2016 Feb 2016 #33

Bernie is in this until the convention and so are his supporters. liberal_at_heart Feb 2016 #73

Then what happens if Bernie doesn't get the nomination? Pick up your blocks and Fla Dem Feb 2016 #138

Thanks for posting this. leftcoastmountains Feb 2016 #15

Once we start having primaries, Clinton is going to get shellacked Matariki Feb 2016 #18

Lovely sources... again! OilemFirchen Feb 2016 #19

This guy loves Overtime Politics. DCBob Feb 2016 #24

It was also hilariously wrong about Nevada. NuclearDem Feb 2016 #27

I suspect they are a bogus operation trying to influence voters. DCBob Feb 2016 #31

It's a couple of amateurs in Australia. Codeine Feb 2016 #36

Yep. OilemFirchen Feb 2016 #30

Yayyyy! K&R Duval Feb 2016 #20

a LOT to look forward to! dana_b Feb 2016 #22

Go Bernie!!! erlewyne Feb 2016 #23

me2 BERNIE 840high Feb 2016 #102

wooooooooooot! EdwardBernays Feb 2016 #26

K & R! TIME TO PANIC Feb 2016 #28

That list doesn't look that promising frazzled Feb 2016 #32

but its not winner take all restorefreedom Feb 2016 #57

It was a close race in 2008 frazzled Feb 2016 #75

I'll wait and see what RoccoR5955 Feb 2016 #34

"Overtime Politics" has been discredited as a reliable, accurate pollster. George II Feb 2016 #35

These are Democratic States is why Orange Butterfly Feb 2016 #38

Alaska? Blue_In_AK Feb 2016 #53

Good clarification Orange Butterfly Feb 2016 #63

And don't pay any attention dpatbrown Feb 2016 #40

true that! dana_b Feb 2016 #41

Too little, too late ... NurseJackie Feb 2016 #42

and?? dana_b Feb 2016 #60

Go, Bernie GO!! AzDar Feb 2016 #43

If he can maintain leads in those places, Arkana Feb 2016 #44

WOW!! Cherry picking at its finest Persondem Feb 2016 #46

If by "cherry picking" you mean picking the most recent poll in each state, then you are right. Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #64

But....but....but... MynameisBlarney Feb 2016 #47

You missed a big one: Oregon DrBulldog Feb 2016 #48

I agree Oregon is DEFINITELY for Sanders but the most recent poll I saw was months old and I tried Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #67

We are working hard for Bernie here in Oregon... woot berniepdx420 Feb 2016 #133

Bernie will win a few states and accumulate a stack of delegates but.. DCBob Feb 2016 #51

I've seen the future and Clinton loses the Dem nomination. Matariki Feb 2016 #54

How did you come by this information? Proud Liberal Dem Feb 2016 #81

Doc. The Redheaded Guy Feb 2016 #110

Heh Proud Liberal Dem Feb 2016 #116

He's telling Bernie CentralMass Feb 2016 #126

Hilli Vanilli will lose us the White House cali Feb 2016 #56

No she won't dana_b Feb 2016 #61

touch�. nashville_brook Feb 2016 #78

Polling right now indicates that both of them will win the GE Downtown Hound Feb 2016 #115

CA Bookghsot1212 Feb 2016 #123

Welcome to DU! pugetres Feb 2016 #135

Latest polling has Hillary leading in CA and its a proportional state. DCBob Feb 2016 #139

2 points about CA. The race may be over by the time CA votes in June. A contest in June will be Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #140

Overtime Politics and H A Goodman workinclasszero Feb 2016 #52

Keep fighting! Keep donating! Keep phone banking! Matariki Feb 2016 #55

Bernie can definitely WIN. Hillary is slowly losing. All she has left are dirty tricks. senz Feb 2016 #59

Latest Texas poll has HRH up by only 10. Another big lead evaporating. kath Feb 2016 #65

in a conservative state PatrynXX Feb 2016 #72

LOL iloveObama12 Feb 2016 #66

you know they are worried when they start telling you to give it up PatrynXX Feb 2016 #69

Hillary forcing the inevitability script after the scrum in NV is just sad. nashville_brook Feb 2016 #77

Awesome! lark Feb 2016 #70

Caliornia -- We'll be ready. Le Taz Hot Feb 2016 #97

Excellent! lark Feb 2016 #141

Connecticut and New Jersey are both starting to sway towards Sanders! nt TheBlackAdder Feb 2016 #71

FiveThirtyEight has Mass tied DrDan Feb 2016 #74

1st, you misstate Clinton's numbers (it's Sanders 47.4%, Clinton 44.2%). 2nd, that's an aggregate. Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #83

those are projected results (49.4 (C)- 47.4 (S)) - Clinton 57% chance of winning DrDan Feb 2016 #86

Except where 538 shows Sanders with a 68% chance of winning Massachusetts (consistent with polling) Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #93

K&R!!! n/t RKP5637 Feb 2016 #76

Keep On Keepin' On Folks ! Ferd Berfel Feb 2016 #79

Thanks, Attorney in Texas! Waiting For Everyman Feb 2016 #80

AT, I am not seeing those numbers. Consider the quality of the pollster and poll. kstewart33 Feb 2016 #82

538 shows Clinton 57% chance of winning Mass (vs being behind as shown by AT) DrDan Feb 2016 #87

Except where 538 shows Sanders with a 68% chance of winning Massachusetts (consistent with polling) Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #92

Don't confuse 538's polling analysis with Nate Silver's state-by-state analysis. Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #90

Texas is closing up also! HooptieWagon Feb 2016 #84

Thank You For Sharing This Good News cantbeserious Feb 2016 #85

One Month Ago Clinton Was Crushing Bernie By 34 Points gordyfl Feb 2016 #89

Sanders is rising fast. Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #98

Republicans and Independents - Bernie Sanders Does Better Than Clinton gordyfl Feb 2016 #99

We cannot win without ticket splitting Republicans and independents and yet they hate Hillary Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #101

Clinton wont qualify for delegates at 9% HereSince1628 Feb 2016 #109

For the first time I will caucus. Cheap_Trick Feb 2016 #91

Thank you! Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #94

Kicked and recommended! If the people are allowed to hear Bernie, he will win! Enthusiast Feb 2016 #108

Once the lies and corruption catch up to the oligarch candidate Bernie will be the last candidate SciDude Feb 2016 #114

I'm so ready for Hillary to step aside. I hope it doesn't require an indictment Vote2016 Feb 2016 #125

The more the voters learn about her, the faster she falls. The more voters learn about him, the Vote2016 Feb 2016 #127

Share this song in support of Bernie chikub Feb 2016 #118

love it! Vote2016 Feb 2016 #120

Cannot believe those Wisconsin numbers. AllyCat Feb 2016 #119

I've seen three Sanders lawn signs in CT, none for Clinton - she'll win CT by 20+ George II Feb 2016 #121

THAT DOESN'T MATTER!!! What's important is who has the most STUPERDELEGATES!!1!! TrollBuster9090 Feb 2016 #122

Obama didn't overtake Clinton until May. Be patient; Sanders will not catch up until after March. Vote2016 Feb 2016 #124

Cheating??? billhicks76 Feb 2016 #128

There is both a "win at all costs" mentality and a "rules don't apply to us" sense of entitlement Attorney in Texas Feb 2016 #137

K&FnR! MrMickeysMom Feb 2016 #130

amen to that! Vote2016 Feb 2016 #142