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2016 Postmortem

aaaaaa5a

(4,686 posts)

16. Ohio is the more important number.

Reply to geek tragedy (Original post)

Fri Oct 19, 2012, 01:12 PM

Oct 2012

Remember electoral math: Ohio + Nevada=270

People keep talking about Iowa as a part of the firewall. This is wrong. The last part of the firewall is Nevada.

Ohio+Wisconsin+Iowa= 4 more years

OR

Ohio+Wisconsin+Nevada= 4more years

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If you believe PPP state polls, Iowa is +6 Republican compared to Ohio [View all] geek tragedy Oct 2012 OP

In terms of registration? RandySF Oct 2012 #1

PPP has Ohio +5 Obama, Iowa +1 Romney. geek tragedy Oct 2012 #10

The early vote tallies are Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #2

Obama won Iowa by nearly 10 points in 2008. Jennicut Oct 2012 #3

No, I think Ohio has really warmed up to Obama. RandySF Oct 2012 #7

Yeah Ohio is a separate Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #11

Is that a PPP poll that just came out? TroyD Oct 2012 #4

Don't hate on PPP too much. RandySF Oct 2012 #5

NBC/WSJ/Marist weighted Jennicut Oct 2012 #9

Were R leaning in 2010 franklin200 Oct 2012 #14

So Romney has a 1-point lead in Iowa,too, per PPP? do they give any WI_DEM Oct 2012 #6

66/32 early voting advantage for O, according to their tweet n/t Blaukraut Oct 2012 #8

With that kind of advantage and Romney is still one-point up WI_DEM Oct 2012 #18

and running ahead of 2008 Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #12

without knowing if this is a Likely Voter poll, or what their sampling is, it's useless. nt progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #13

of course it's a likely voter poll. woolldog Oct 2012 #15

Ohio is the more important number. aaaaaa5a Oct 2012 #16

Yep! Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #21

I don't believe. LisaL Oct 2012 #17

Don't discount this or the Marist poll. Mr.Turnip Oct 2012 #19

Exactly. Jennicut Oct 2012 #20