2016 Postmortem

SheilaT

(23,156 posts)

9. The 2.5 million votes hark back to Super Tuesday and the deep south,

Sat Apr 9, 2016, 07:46 AM

Apr 2016

states which no Democrat is very likely to carry anyway. Plus, a lot of the caucus states don't report their actual numbers, so the 2.5 million isn't a reliable number in the first place.

More to the point, it's the delegates that count.

And tell me again about the amazing enthusiasm for Hillary? The Nevada delegates that couldn't be bothered to show up for the second round of voting?

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My prediction: Hillary wins 14 of remaining 21 states and finishes ahead by 347 pledged delegates. [View all] DCBob Apr 2016 OP

Listen, team... CompanyFirstSergeant Apr 2016 #1

Sounds like Bernie is one who will need some wheeling and dealing with the Supers. DCBob Apr 2016 #19

This message was self-deleted by its author CompanyFirstSergeant Apr 2016 #29

There is no way on god's green earth that SheilaT Apr 2016 #2

Ok. But he tossed out his numbers. Your turn. Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #5

Who he? What numbers? SheilaT Apr 2016 #6

You might loop back to the OP and read it. Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #8

You understand that the person ahead is by definition winning, right? nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #27

Show us how Bernie gets anywhere close to Hillary. DCBob Apr 2016 #16

I think you're right that she wins, but I think it will be closer than you say. thesquanderer Apr 2016 #66

I predict that an angry mob will descend on this thread... Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #3

A good analysis...and probably a little bit conservative. Sancho Apr 2016 #4

The 2.5 million votes hark back to Super Tuesday and the deep south, SheilaT Apr 2016 #9

This enthusiasm..NY polls Sancho Apr 2016 #26

Virginia and Florida and Ohio voted for Obama twice. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #35

Yes, I think a bit conservative too.. DCBob Apr 2016 #17

Now that Bill Clinton attacked BLM it's whole new ballgame. B Calm Apr 2016 #7

And and and um the vote for Iraq and banksters and... Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #10

Not really TMontoya Apr 2016 #11

We'll see! B Calm Apr 2016 #18

I know I see this to be true too. FarPoint Apr 2016 #33

Black people care about it noiretextatique Apr 2016 #78

The coming indictments will help her, too. TheCowsCameHome Apr 2016 #12

Shhh! She told them that wasn't going to happen. IdaBriggs Apr 2016 #14

Yes, that is Bernie's only hope now... DCBob Apr 2016 #20

It's not only Bernie hoping........... TheCowsCameHome Apr 2016 #39

Didn't you predict some other big wins a couple of weeks ago? hobbit709 Apr 2016 #13

You mean FL, MS, LA, OH, NC, AZ, etc... DCBob Apr 2016 #22

I see you conveniently left a few out. along with a large lead that evaporated. hobbit709 Apr 2016 #30

Wow. Even more similarity to Baghdad Bob than before. HERVEPA Apr 2016 #15

That's one opinion. One of the 99 Apr 2016 #21

Oh yeah. DCBob Apr 2016 #23

No way. One of the 99 Apr 2016 #24

Lets check back April 19th. DCBob Apr 2016 #28

. Sky Masterson Apr 2016 #31

Ridiculous because it conflicts with your hopes? nt geek tragedy Apr 2016 #32

No because it conflicts with reality. One of the 99 Apr 2016 #64

The FBI is notoriously mellow about national security. CompanyFirstSergeant Apr 2016 #25

You may well be right, but . . . Vinca Apr 2016 #34

I think those dislikes ratings are unfair.. DCBob Apr 2016 #46

Keep those rose-colored glasses on, my friend. Vinca Apr 2016 #49

My glasses are super clear! DCBob Apr 2016 #51

I thought that Trump was going to get it nadinbrzezinski Apr 2016 #69

I think PA will be less competitive than NY but overall this seems right. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #36

You may be right about PA. DCBob Apr 2016 #38

Polls to watch: geek tragedy Apr 2016 #41

A lot of wishful thinking here... DemocracyDirect Apr 2016 #37

What other predictions?? DCBob Apr 2016 #40

The predictions by you and the rest of the royalists... DemocracyDirect Apr 2016 #42

I dont think I ever said February but I did think it would be more or less over by Super Tuesday. DCBob Apr 2016 #44

So then why don't you lend us a hand... DemocracyDirect Apr 2016 #47

Because Hilary is our better candidate by far. DCBob Apr 2016 #50

You really are a master of wishful thinking. DemocracyDirect Apr 2016 #55

She will easily beat any RW loon the GOP puts up. DCBob Apr 2016 #58

Okay if it comes to that then I pray that you are right! DemocracyDirect Apr 2016 #60

I totally respect your views... DCBob Apr 2016 #62

Hillary could win NY at 55%, and Sanders take EVERYTHING ELSE at 58%, and she'd still win Tarc Apr 2016 #43

Yeah, clearly Hillary has all sorts of win scenarios.. DCBob Apr 2016 #45

Enough of these math threads already. DemocracyDirect Apr 2016 #48

LOL.. enough of these anti-math posts! DCBob Apr 2016 #52

Great we agree... DemocracyDirect Apr 2016 #57

keeping my fingers crossed n/t chillfactor Apr 2016 #53

It is good to know the Amazing Karnak still lives without Johnny Carson. gordianot Apr 2016 #54

I loved that character! DCBob Apr 2016 #56

Key word is simple but if anything prognostication is harder. gordianot Apr 2016 #67

Bernie is the Timex candidate -- Keeps on Ticking Armstead Apr 2016 #59

He's still ticking but running out of time.. and states. DCBob Apr 2016 #61

If he's still ticking at the convention...could be interesting Armstead Apr 2016 #63

Batteries eventually run out.. even the "Energizer". DCBob Apr 2016 #65

Well ultimately, as the philosopher said, in the long run we're all dead.... Armstead Apr 2016 #68

I like that spreadsheet NWCorona Apr 2016 #70

My prediction: Dem2 Apr 2016 #71

Nope. Sanders might win Iowa, New Hampshire, and Vermont, but that's it. It's all Hillary Karmadillo Apr 2016 #72

Kick for the math... Surya Gayatri Apr 2016 #73

OK bookmarked and we can talk about this later n/t. airplaneman Apr 2016 #74

Thank you... I feel honored. DCBob Apr 2016 #75

Ok I am ready to review how you have done on your prediction so far. airplaneman May 2016 #80

and unites the party oldandhappy Apr 2016 #76

The vast majority of the party will come together in support of Hillary.. DCBob Apr 2016 #77

well - that means - it is not the end of the world as we know it SoLeftIAmRight Apr 2016 #79

My final review of your predictions. airplaneman Jun 2016 #81

Thank you. DCBob Jun 2016 #82