NC FACTS--not pundit BS or pollster malarkey--Look at the numbers--FINAL UPDATE #10

[Texas Lawyer]

91. Does the polling show that we're tied or leading in NC? Perhaps. If you exclude those polls that

rely solely on automated robo-phone calls or solely on internet polling, we're tied or ahead.

This is significant, but it doesn't get enough analysis.

The Huffington Post's Pollster (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/news/pollster/) has us narrowly behind in North Carolina (http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2012-north-carolina-president-romney-vs-obama?gec).

Specifically, Pollsters shows Romney at 48.9% and the President at 46.5%

Pollster also allows you to make your own aggregate polling graphs. If you drop out the internet polls and automated robo-phone call, the results change significantly, and which party is leading depends on how much smoothing you use to to draw the trend line tracking the polling data points:

47.2% Obama vs. 44% Romney (less smoothing)
46.5% Romney vs. 46.1% Obama (moderate smoothing)
47.1% Obama vs. 46.1% Romney (more smoothing)

If there is a fundamental flaw in the automated-phone-call methodology, then the race in NC may be shaping up differently than how it is being widely reported.