2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: A question for those who think Trump will defy the consensus and win in November. [View all]saltpoint
(50,986 posts)to voters' perception that she is not honest and untrustworthy.
I think Trump will hold onto the "antebellum South" states. I don't think he wins any swing states. He's going to have to fight for Georgia, too.
I think he rolls up a red spread on the election night map on tv but loses the electoral colleges by near-landslide proportions.
The map lights up blue in Florida, Virginia, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, the Pacific coast states, all of New England, plus Michigan, Iowa, and Hawaii. I may be missing some blue states.
Trump could be close in N. Carolina and Indiana, but again, he'll still have to fight for it, and he's not going to have the same organization we do in either state. The GOP in Indiana is a goddam mess by any standard.