2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: I think we just won the Senate... [View all]NCTraveler
(30,481 posts)We have some huge positives for Murphy in this state and Rubio has been under attack.
1) Trump has fostered hate toward Rubio among Trumps base.
2) The last poll I saw has Murphy within 4. That is with Murphy really introducing himself to much of the state.
3) If Trump continues his current path I believe his turnout will be low, greatly benefiting Murphy.
4) Murphy is all in and spending money early. He is in GE mode and running positive commercials every day. Some PAC is regularly running negative Rubio ads.
5) Some other Republican I'm not familiar with is running ads as the pro-Trump and anti-Rubio candidate.
6) Murphy is breezing through his primary with little effort while taking very minimal damage.
This would be a huge grab.