State of EV in Nevada: HCR builds insurmountable lead [View all]
https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/794616228103028736
NV: Almost 700k votes in - tough landscape for Trump. Dems are +6% in EV, and 28.8% of Dem EV didn't vote in '12 (25.5% of GOP).
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Consider this 2012 elections total votes casted were 1.1 out of those two counties amounted following totals:
Clark: 691,190 or 68.10% of total, Obama won by 100k votes
Washoe: 187,855 or 18.51% of total Obama won by 8k votes
Final: (Obama)531,373 (Romey)463,567 ... Difference is 67k votes
Total active voter registrations: 1,464,819 since Nov 04, 2016
http://nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=4518
2012 turnout was 56% based elect project.org but we can probably get to 75% turnout this year which will amount to 1098614 votes, remaining votes are 398614 and Dem Lead is 42000
Trump need to win by 10.5% in pending votes on Election day to carry this election, this is exactly like what Jon Ralston pointed out:
Jon Ralston @RalstonReports 2h2 hours ago
Jon Ralston Retweeted Sam Stein
Not sure about that, but:
Trump is not going to win NV by 10 points on Election Day. Not even a Jim Carrey in "Dumb and Dumber" chance.
I further have a hunch the Republicans are cannibalizing election day votes. which makes above task even more impossible.