2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Just look at one county in PA and its just mind blowing and shocking... the results are very shady [View all]Coyotl
(15,262 posts)Exit polls:
Twenty states sorted by candidate percentage of votes, linear trend lines are mean tendency.
Exit polls and average polls compared.
Mean red shift for all states with exit polls is less than in the 20 states with contested Senate seats. The 2004 fifty state mean was a 1.45% red shift, with every state below 5%. 2016 represents a 244% increase of exit poll red shift.
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Scatter plots focused on the battleground states, blue dots represents states with Dem winner in exit poll losing the election. In Ohio, the Republican margin and the red shift are nearly equal. In MO, the exit poll is off by more than 10%. Blunt was losing in the pre-election polling.
https://groups.google.com/forum/#!topic/electionintegrity/CKgvhwJ6Src