Bernie's got this! It's a lock!

[Fawke Em]

46. My son is fantastic at statistics.

Took AP Stats last semester and passed the AP exam to opt out of it in college.

He has a government class this semester, so he's been challenged to look at these things.

He can see the growth in Sanders' support in the state polls and extrapolate the trajectories in the national polls. What he sees is Sanders' support continuing to grow as his message gets out.

Ironically, in his school, everyone either supports Trump or Sanders. These kids can't vote, yet (he's a junior), but they have to be getting their preferences from something: family, friends and/or social media.

Telling Sanders supporters we're "statistically challenged" is nothing more than another meme meant to counteract Clinton's drop in the polls.

She's dropping. He's rising. And you don't need to be a statistician to see that.

What we don't know is what will happen when he gets more national exposure after the first debate. For all the news shows he's done in the past couple of months, the fact is that many people don't pay attention to all that until the fall. We're just about there and we're nearing the first debate.

After that, you'll get better data.