2016 Postmortem

LynneSin

(95,337 posts)

15. This is great news but we need to treat these states like we're 2 points behind

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 08:54 AM

Aug 2012

We have no idea how the voter ID & purges in these states are going to impact the final votes. They say there could be close to 800k voters in Pennsylvania alone that could be impacted by the Voter ID bill. Just to give you an idea of the type of impact that would have in Pennsylvania - Obama won PA by 10points in 2008 or 620,478 votes over John McCain. Since the vast majority of those 800K voters impacted by Voter ID bills are the elderly, the young and minorities mainly in the urban areas of Phillly and a bit from Pittsburgh - that could put Romney over the top of Obama. Romney could win simply because PA GOP created a law that would disenfranchise legal voters from their rights to vote.

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Quinnipiac: Obama +6 in OH, +6 in FL, +11 in PA [View all] Drunken Irishman Aug 2012 OP

good numbers indeed oldhippydude Aug 2012 #1

I hope the voting computers aren't hacked. jerseyjack Aug 2012 #5

Why didn't they hack them in 2008? Marzupialis Aug 2012 #23

They should be a lot gooder given the competition. n/t yankeepants Aug 2012 #2

I dunno. 47% is pretty much the basement for either party now Motown_Johnny Aug 2012 #3

Getting 53% of the vote is quite an accomplishment especially in these divided times Hawaii Hiker Aug 2012 #6

That is excellent news liberal N proud Aug 2012 #4

"How far" is a tricky number to calculate... Wounded Bear Aug 2012 #25

I agree 100% cheezmaka Aug 2012 #34

But Rasmussen has Romney 1 point ahead in Iowa nxylas Aug 2012 #7

Anymore questions about whether the Bain ads worked, or why ads were pulled in PA? alcibiades_mystery Aug 2012 #8

I would imagine they pulled PA 'cuz they're up by 11. Save some cash. democrat_patriot Aug 2012 #10

Um, yeah alcibiades_mystery Aug 2012 #11

I believe that's true cheezmaka Aug 2012 #35

Glad the Chicago side won on this flamingdem Aug 2012 #39

but the media told us that the bain attacks werwnt working... scheming daemons Aug 2012 #9

Hmm kenfrequed Aug 2012 #29

And again we see... neeksgeek Aug 2012 #12

reasonableness gaining over snake oil. nt Deep13 Aug 2012 #13

I like these headlines..something we would never see on NBC's INdemo Aug 2012 #14

This is great news but we need to treat these states like we're 2 points behind LynneSin Aug 2012 #15

So far, I believe the court battle is going our way... Wounded Bear Aug 2012 #26

It's looking good but until they rule it unconstitutional... LynneSin Aug 2012 #31

Since MI is "already" blue... cheezmaka Aug 2012 #36

Something major has happened in Ohio grantcart Aug 2012 #16

Portman won't make much of a difference if President Obama is consistently leading Hawaii Hiker Aug 2012 #19

Portman is the only VP choice who has shown to be of any help in Ohio, the others have no impact. grantcart Aug 2012 #20

Condi Rice in several polls could make things interesting as independents like her, BUT Hawaii Hiker Aug 2012 #22

kick grantcart Aug 2012 #33

Check out the results on this question......... yellowcanine Aug 2012 #17

yep also note the clever way to use the tabs on this version grantcart Aug 2012 #18

WoW! Those are dramatic disparities. I wonder if we'll hear much discussion about this. Tarheel_Dem Aug 2012 #24

We will hear about it soon enough. The press loves to talk about "likability" issues. Look at the yellowcanine Aug 2012 #28

Agreed. Tarheel_Dem Aug 2012 #32

Must be why Obama (at least for now) stopped advertising in PA. WI_DEM Aug 2012 #21

So is Rmoney, or he's slowing it way down demosincebirth Aug 2012 #27

I don't see how Romney closes the likability gap in Ohio with advertising. yellowcanine Aug 2012 #30

Game, set, and match! Bake Aug 2012 #37

Ah so this is why they stopped running ads in PA flamingdem Aug 2012 #38