Uh oh, the Pollster.com trendline has finally caught up with reality [View all]

There are a fair number of people who like to post screenshots from Pollster, generally with a tagline like, "The trend continues." This had conveniently ignored 2+ months of polls showing a certain candidate plateaued around the mid 20s. Well, Pollster's moderate smoothing, which takes into account multi month historical averages well smoothing out more recent results, has finally caught up with the past few months of polling.

Now, the following is Pollster's default chart--no change in dates, smoothing, polling companies, etc--except with the individual poll dots turned off so you can see the trendline.



The information still lags a bit, as this shows the trend leveling off in September instead of August, but that is a function of Pollster's smoothing function.

The race has stabilized between Bernie And Clinton. And it is in the process of stabilizing with Biden's theoretical entry. Nice to finally have the second of the two major aggregating sites catch up to that fact.