What Polling Indicates after Two Debates is Clear - A Prediction

[Sancho]

9. I agree entirely...

and I would add what social scientists call "triangulation" or "validity".

Hillary is on a record pace to gain endorsements from politicians, unions, and social leaders. In 2007, this was a split with Obama - and important endorsements by Kennedy and popular celebraties like Oprah helped put Obama ahead by the smallest margin. There's no similar competition here. That supports your prediction.

Hillary continues to get donations and support in the polls from the demographics that would have been predicted a couple years ago before the first survey call went out: women, immigrants, and minorities are her base. That validates the polls and prediction.

Hillary continues to raise money from both small individual donors and large hitters who support Democrats. She has appeal across the board, which also is important in a GE election (if you want to win).

The Super Delegates are committing to Hillary in droves. This is another predictor of a winner. Even if the general population was at a ball game and missed the last debate, you can be confident that the Super Delegates are watching the candidates, especially if they are not committed. Hillary is winning them over.

The only thing that could derail Hillary now is an unpredictable event that changed the dynamics. If anything, the current state of the world and economy play into Hillary's strenghts. As long as that is the focus for the next 6 months, the primary will be over before it begins.

I would say your prediction is a good one, and based on the empirical evidence.